Sat, Jan 24 2026 • 15:00 • Fir Park
Not Started
Expected Goals
1.91 (league 1.51) 0.45 (league 1.23)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
71.4% 19.5% 7.8%
best score tips
1 - 0
18.1%
2 - 0
17.3%
3 - 0
11.0%
Score & goals probability table
Kilmarnock
0 1 2 3 4 5
Motherwell 0 9.5% 4.2% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 18.1% 8.1% 1.8% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
2 17.3% 7.7% 1.7% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
3 11.0% 4.9% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 5.2% 2.3% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 2.0% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricMotherwellKilmarnock
Played55
Form67%13%
Attack75%38%
Defense75%13%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.23 | 0.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)2 | 0.47 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.70
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

71%
FT probability

2.5+

50%
FT probability

3.5+

35%
FT probability

BTTS

66%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Motherwell Kilmarnock
HATHAT
Played111122111122
Wins64%18%41%9%9%9%
Draws27%64%45%27%45%36%
Loses9%18%14%64%45%55%

Form: Motherwell: DDDDDWLLWWDWWDDWDWLWWD • Kilmarnock: DDDDLWWLLLLLLDDLLLDLLD

League goals

Metric Motherwell Kilmarnock
HATHAT
GF total18133181220
GF avg1.61.21.40.71.10.9
GA total51217192039
GA avg0.51.10.81.71.81.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineMotherwellKilmarnock
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.577%50%68%82%
1.550%18%23%59%
2.514%9%0%32%
3.50%0%0%5%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricMotherwellKilmarnock
HATHAT
Clean sheets8311224
Failed to score145527

Penalties

MetricMotherwellKilmarnock
Scored (total | %)6 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total60

Streaks

MetricMotherwellKilmarnock
Wins22
Draws54
Losses26

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-01-32-00-2
Biggest losses1-23-20-34-0
Goals For3322
Goals Against2334

Model comparison

MetricMotherwellKilmarnock
Form83%17%
Att67%33%
Def78%22%
Poisson Distribution83%17%
H2h62%38%
Goals62%38%
Total72.5%27.5%

Advice: Double chance : Motherwell or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.50 @ Unibet
Draw4.50 @ Dafabet
Away7.20 @ 10Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.95 @ Betfair
Under 2.52.02 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.15 @ Betfair
No1.91 @ Unibet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Motherwell = 1.91 (league 1.51), Kilmarnock = 0.45 (league 1.23)

Kilmarnock
0 1 2 3 4 5
Motherwell 0 9.5% 4.2% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 18.1% 8.1% 1.8% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
2 17.3% 7.7% 1.7% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
3 11.0% 4.9% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 5.2% 2.3% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 2.0% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 71.4% · Draw 19.5% · Away win 7.8%

vtt 1 , vtd1