Sat, Feb 14 2026 • 15:00 • Easter Road
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.58 (league 1.54) 0.99 (league 1.22)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
66.8% 16.1% 12.2%
best score tips
2 - 0
9.4%
2 - 1
9.3%
3 - 0
8.1%
Score & goals probability table
ST Mirren
0 1 2 3 4 5
Hibernian 0 2.8% 2.8% 1.4% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
1 7.2% 7.2% 3.6% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1%
2 9.4% 9.3% 4.6% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1%
3 8.1% 8.0% 4.0% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1%
4 5.2% 5.2% 2.6% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
5 2.7% 2.7% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricHibernianST Mirren
Played55
Form33%33%
Attack36%36%
Defense43%50%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 15 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.67 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.20
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

80%
FT probability

2.5+

56%
FT probability

3.5+

40%
FT probability

BTTS

70%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Hibernian ST Mirren
HATHAT
Played131326131225
Wins46%31%38%31%8%20%
Draws38%31%35%38%25%32%
Loses15%38%27%31%67%48%

Form: Hibernian: WDDDDDLWWLDWWLLWLDWWWDLDWL • ST Mirren: LDDDWWLLLDLLLDWWDLLLLDDWL

League goals

Metric Hibernian ST Mirren
HATHAT
GF total25164181321
GF avg1.91.21.60.61.10.8
GA total141731102535
GA avg1.11.31.20.82.11.4

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineHibernianST Mirren
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.573%73%56%72%
1.554%35%20%44%
2.527%8%8%20%
3.54%4%0%4%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricHibernianST Mirren
HATHAT
Clean sheets527707
Failed to score2577411

Penalties

MetricHibernianST Mirren
Scored (total | %)6 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total61

Streaks

MetricHibernianST Mirren
Wins32
Draws53
Losses24

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-00-32-01-2
Biggest losses1-24-10-33-1
Goals For4323
Goals Against3434

Model comparison

MetricHibernianST Mirren
Form50%50%
Att50%50%
Def47%53%
Poisson Distribution72%28%
H2h50%50%
Goals58%42%
Total54.5%45.5%

Advice: Double chance : Hibernian or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.84 @ Unibet
Draw3.71 @ Pinnacle
Away4.57 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.94 @ SBO
Under 2.51.95 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.87 @ Betfair
No2.07 @ Unibet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Hibernian = 2.58 (league 1.54), ST Mirren = 0.99 (league 1.22)

ST Mirren
0 1 2 3 4 5
Hibernian 0 2.8% 2.8% 1.4% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
1 7.2% 7.2% 3.6% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1%
2 9.4% 9.3% 4.6% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1%
3 8.1% 8.0% 4.0% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1%
4 5.2% 5.2% 2.6% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
5 2.7% 2.7% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 66.8% · Draw 16.1% · Away win 12.2%

vtt 1 , vtd1