Sun, Feb 15 2026 • 14:00 • Rugby Park
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.97 (league 1.61) 1.79 (league 1.23)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
20.1% 23.1% 55.7%
best score tips
0 - 1
11.3%
1 - 1
11.0%
0 - 2
10.2%
Score & goals probability table
Celtic
0 1 2 3 4 5
Kilmarnock 0 6.3% 11.3% 10.2% 6.1% 2.7% 1.0%
1 6.1% 11.0% 9.8% 5.9% 2.6% 0.9%
2 3.0% 5.3% 4.8% 2.8% 1.3% 0.5%
3 1.0% 1.7% 1.5% 0.9% 0.4% 0.1%
4 0.2% 0.4% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricKilmarnockCeltic
Played55
Form47%87%
Attack45%55%
Defense35%85%
Goals For (tot | avg)9 | 1.811 | 2.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)13 | 2.63 | 0.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.90
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

81%
FT probability

2.5+

57%
FT probability

3.5+

41%
FT probability

BTTS

68%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2-3
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Kilmarnock Celtic
HATHAT
Played131326131225
Wins23%8%15%77%50%64%
Draws23%38%31%8%17%12%
Loses54%54%54%15%33%24%
KilmarnockDDDDLWWLLLLLLDDLLLDLLDLWLW
CelticWWWDWDWLLWWWWWLLWWLLWWDWW

League goals

Metric Kilmarnock Celtic
HATHAT
GF total151328291645
GF avg1.21.01.12.21.31.8
GA total22295191524
GA avg1.72.22.00.71.31.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineKilmarnockCeltic
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.569%81%84%52%
1.527%62%52%36%
2.58%38%28%8%
3.54%12%16%0%
4.50%4%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricKilmarnockCeltic
HATHAT
Clean sheets3258412
Failed to score538134

Penalties

MetricKilmarnockCeltic
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%4 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total04

Streaks

MetricKilmarnockCeltic
Wins25
Draws41
Losses62

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-00-24-02-4
Biggest losses0-35-11-33-1
Goals For4244
Goals Against3533

Model comparison

MetricKilmarnockCeltic
Form35%65%
Att45%55%
Def19%81%
Poisson Distribution32%68%
H2h0%100%
Goals17%83%
Total29.6%70.4%
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home8.22 @ Pinnacle
Draw5.62 @ Pinnacle
Away1.40 @ Betano

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.52 @ Unibet
Under 2.52.68 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.80 @ Pinnacle
No2.07 @ Pinnacle
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League standings

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