Sat, Feb 28 2026 • 15:00 • Falkirk Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.90 (league 1.54) 0.98 (league 1.22)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
57.6% 22.0% 19.0%
best score tips
1 - 0
10.6%
1 - 1
10.4%
2 - 0
10.1%
Score & goals probability table
Kilmarnock
0 1 2 3 4 5
Falkirk 0 5.6% 5.5% 2.7% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
1 10.6% 10.4% 5.1% 1.7% 0.4% 0.1%
2 10.1% 9.9% 4.9% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1%
3 6.4% 6.3% 3.1% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
4 3.1% 3.0% 1.5% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
5 1.2% 1.1% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricFalkirkKilmarnock
Played55
Form40%47%
Attack38%85%
Defense46%8%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 111 | 2.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.412 | 2.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.40
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

80%
FT probability

2.5+

56%
FT probability

3.5+

40%
FT probability

BTTS

72%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Falkirk Kilmarnock
HATHAT
Played141428141428
Wins36%43%39%21%7%14%
Draws36%7%21%21%43%32%
Loses29%50%39%57%50%54%

Form: Falkirk: DLWLDLDWWLWDWDDLLWLWWLWLWWLL • Kilmarnock: DDDDLWWLLLLLLDDLLLDLLDLWLWLD

League goals

Metric Falkirk Kilmarnock
HATHAT
GF total201232171431
GF avg1.40.91.11.21.01.1
GA total171936253055
GA avg1.21.41.31.82.12.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineFalkirkKilmarnock
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.564%71%71%82%
1.536%36%29%61%
2.511%18%7%39%
3.54%4%4%11%
4.50%0%0%4%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricFalkirkKilmarnock
HATHAT
Clean sheets358325
Failed to score3710538

Penalties

MetricFalkirkKilmarnock
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total10

Streaks

MetricFalkirkKilmarnock
Wins22
Draws24
Losses26

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-10-33-00-2
Biggest losses0-24-00-35-1
Goals For4342
Goals Against3435

Model comparison

MetricFalkirkKilmarnock
Form46%54%
Att31%69%
Def63%37%
Poisson Distribution66%34%
H2h60%40%
Goals53%47%
Total53.2%46.8%

Advice: Double chance : Falkirk or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.73 @ Betfair
Draw4.22 @ Pinnacle
Away4.66 @ SBO

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.84 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.52.06 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.84 @ 188Bet
No2.05 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Falkirk = 1.90 (league 1.54), Kilmarnock = 0.98 (league 1.22)

Kilmarnock
0 1 2 3 4 5
Falkirk 0 5.6% 5.5% 2.7% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
1 10.6% 10.4% 5.1% 1.7% 0.4% 0.1%
2 10.1% 9.9% 4.9% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1%
3 6.4% 6.3% 3.1% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
4 3.1% 3.0% 1.5% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
5 1.2% 1.1% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 57.6% · Draw 22.0% · Away win 19.0%

vtt 6 , vtd1