Sat, Feb 28 2026 • 15:00 • Tynecastle Park
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.72 (league 1.55) 0.25 (league 1.22)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
73.8% 20.6% 4.8%
best score tips
1 - 0
24.1%
2 - 0
20.7%
0 - 0
14.0%
Score & goals probability table
Aberdeen
0 1 2 3 4 5
Heart Of Midlothian 0 14.0% 3.4% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 24.1% 5.9% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2 20.7% 5.1% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 11.9% 2.9% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 5.1% 1.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 1.8% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricHeart Of MidlothianAberdeen
Played55
Form60%27%
Attack54%62%
Defense62%23%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.48 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 110 | 2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.40
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

68%
FT probability

2.5+

48%
FT probability

3.5+

34%
FT probability

BTTS

61%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Heart Of Midlothian Aberdeen
HATHAT
Played141428131427
Wins71%57%64%31%29%30%
Draws29%14%21%31%7%19%
Loses0%29%14%38%64%52%

Form: Heart Of Midlothian: WWDWWWWWWDWDLDDWWWLWWWDWLWLW • Aberdeen: LLLDLLWWLWDWWDWWLDLLLLWLLLD

League goals

Metric Heart Of Midlothian Aberdeen
HATHAT
GF total27245121728
GF avg1.91.71.81.60.51.0
GA total91524182038
GA avg0.61.10.91.41.41.4

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineHeart Of MidlothianAberdeen
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.589%50%52%74%
1.564%21%22%52%
2.525%11%15%15%
3.54%4%7%0%
4.50%0%4%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricHeart Of MidlothianAberdeen
HATHAT
Clean sheets8614347
Failed to score0334913

Penalties

MetricHeart Of MidlothianAberdeen
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total32

Streaks

MetricHeart Of MidlothianAberdeen
Wins62
Draws21
Losses14

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-00-36-21-3
Biggest losses4-20-23-0
Goals For4363
Goals Against3433

Model comparison

MetricHeart Of MidlothianAberdeen
Form69%31%
Att47%53%
Def67%33%
Poisson Distribution87%13%
H2h38%62%
Goals50%50%
Total59.7%40.3%

Advice: Double chance : Heart Of Midlothian or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.45 @ Betano
Draw4.78 @ Pinnacle
Away8.00 @ Bet365

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.84 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.52.10 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.13 @ Pinnacle
No1.83 @ Unibet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Heart Of Midlothian = 1.72 (league 1.55), Aberdeen = 0.25 (league 1.22)

Aberdeen
0 1 2 3 4 5
Heart Of Midlothian 0 14.0% 3.4% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 24.1% 5.9% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2 20.7% 5.1% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 11.9% 2.9% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 5.1% 1.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 1.8% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 73.8% · Draw 20.6% · Away win 4.8%

vtt 5 , vtd1