Sat, Mar 14 2026 • 20:00 • Rugby Park
Not Started
Expected Goals
0.85 (league 1.54) 2.51 (league 1.22)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
10.7% 16.0% 69.1%
best score tips
0 - 2
10.9%
1 - 2
9.3%
0 - 3
9.1%
Score & goals probability table
Heart Of Midlothian
0 1 2 3 4 5
Kilmarnock 0 3.5% 8.7% 10.9% 9.1% 5.7% 2.9%
1 3.0% 7.4% 9.3% 7.8% 4.9% 2.4%
2 1.3% 3.2% 4.0% 3.3% 2.1% 1.0%
3 0.4% 0.9% 1.1% 0.9% 0.6% 0.3%
4 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricKilmarnockHeart Of Midlothian
Played55
Form27%60%
Attack60%33%
Defense0%67%
Goals For (tot | avg)9 | 1.85 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)17 | 3.45 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.90
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.90
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.90
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

83%
FT probability

2.5+

58%
FT probability

3.5+

41%
FT probability

BTTS

69%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Kilmarnock Heart Of Midlothian
HATHAT
Played141529151429
Wins21%7%14%73%57%66%
Draws21%40%31%27%14%21%
Loses57%53%55%0%29%14%

Form: Kilmarnock: DDDDLWWLLLLLLDDLLLDLLDLWLWLDL • Heart Of Midlothian: WWDWWWWWWDWDLDDWWWLWWWDWLWLWW

League goals

Metric Kilmarnock Heart Of Midlothian
HATHAT
GF total171532282452
GF avg1.21.01.11.91.71.8
GA total25356091524
GA avg1.82.32.10.61.10.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineKilmarnockHeart Of Midlothian
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.572%83%90%48%
1.528%62%62%21%
2.57%41%24%10%
3.53%14%3%3%
4.50%7%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricKilmarnockHeart Of Midlothian
HATHAT
Clean sheets3259615
Failed to score538033

Penalties

MetricKilmarnockHeart Of Midlothian
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total03

Streaks

MetricKilmarnockHeart Of Midlothian
Wins26
Draws42
Losses61

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-00-24-00-3
Biggest losses0-35-1—4-2
Goals For4243
Goals Against3534

Model comparison

MetricKilmarnockHeart Of Midlothian
Form31%69%
Att64%36%
Def23%77%
Poisson Distribution24%76%
H2h29%71%
Goals33%67%
Total34.0%66.0%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Heart Of Midlothian

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home5.25 @ Unibet
Draw3.90 @ Unibet
Away1.74 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.87 @ SBO
Under 2.52.02 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.84 @ 188Bet
No2.00 @ 10Bet
Select to view full market tables.
📊

League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Kilmarnock = 0.85 (league 1.54), Heart Of Midlothian = 2.51 (league 1.22)

Heart Of Midlothian
0 1 2 3 4 5
Kilmarnock 0 3.5% 8.7% 10.9% 9.1% 5.7% 2.9%
1 3.0% 7.4% 9.3% 7.8% 4.9% 2.4%
2 1.3% 3.2% 4.0% 3.3% 2.1% 1.0%
3 0.4% 0.9% 1.1% 0.9% 0.6% 0.3%
4 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 10.7% · Draw 16.0% · Away win 69.1%

vtt 1 , vtd1