Sat, Mar 21 2026 • 15:00 • Falkirk Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.21 (league 1.54) 1.01 (league 1.19)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
62.2% 19.3% 15.9%
best score tips
2 - 1
9.9%
2 - 0
9.8%
1 - 1
8.9%
Score & goals probability table
ST Mirren
0 1 2 3 4 5
Falkirk 0 4.0% 4.0% 2.0% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
1 8.9% 8.9% 4.5% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1%
2 9.8% 9.9% 5.0% 1.7% 0.4% 0.1%
3 7.2% 7.3% 3.7% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1%
4 4.0% 4.0% 2.0% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
5 1.8% 1.8% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricFalkirkST Mirren
Played55
Form47%7%
Attack90%20%
Defense40%0%
Goals For (tot | avg)9 | 1.82 | 0.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.211 | 2.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.70
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.20
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

77%
FT probability

2.5+

54%
FT probability

3.5+

39%
FT probability

BTTS

70%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Falkirk ST Mirren
HATHAT
Played151530151530
Wins40%40%40%27%7%17%
Draws33%13%23%33%27%30%
Loses27%47%37%40%67%53%

Form: Falkirk: DLWLDLDWWLWDWDDLLWLWWLWLWWLLWD • ST Mirren: LDDDWWLLLDLLLDWWDLLLLDDWLLLDLL

League goals

Metric Falkirk ST Mirren
HATHAT
GF total25133881523
GF avg1.70.91.30.51.00.8
GA total182038163046
GA avg1.21.31.31.12.01.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineFalkirkST Mirren
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.567%73%53%77%
1.537%33%17%47%
2.513%17%7%20%
3.57%3%0%7%
4.53%0%0%3%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricFalkirkST Mirren
HATHAT
Clean sheets358707
Failed to score37109514

Penalties

MetricFalkirkST Mirren
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total11

Streaks

MetricFalkirkST Mirren
Wins22
Draws23
Losses24

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-10-32-01-2
Biggest losses0-24-00-53-1
Goals For5323
Goals Against3454

Model comparison

MetricFalkirkST Mirren
Form88%13%
Att82%18%
Def65%35%
Poisson Distribution68%32%
H2h71%29%
Goals67%33%
Total73.5%26.7%

Advice: Double chance : Falkirk or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.90 @ 188Bet
Draw3.72 @ Pinnacle
Away4.81 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.97 @ SBO
Under 2.51.93 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.87 @ Betfair
No2.02 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Falkirk = 2.21 (league 1.54), ST Mirren = 1.01 (league 1.19)

ST Mirren
0 1 2 3 4 5
Falkirk 0 4.0% 4.0% 2.0% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
1 8.9% 8.9% 4.5% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1%
2 9.8% 9.9% 5.0% 1.7% 0.4% 0.1%
3 7.2% 7.3% 3.7% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1%
4 4.0% 4.0% 2.0% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
5 1.8% 1.8% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 62.2% · Draw 19.3% · Away win 15.9%

vtt 1 , vtd1