Sat, Mar 21 2026 • 15:00 • Rugby Park
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.64 (league 1.54) 1.14 (league 1.19)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
48.3% 24.5% 26.4%
best score tips
1 - 1
11.6%
1 - 0
10.2%
2 - 1
9.5%
Score & goals probability table
Livingston
0 1 2 3 4 5
Kilmarnock 0 6.2% 7.1% 4.0% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1%
1 10.2% 11.6% 6.6% 2.5% 0.7% 0.2%
2 8.3% 9.5% 5.4% 2.1% 0.6% 0.1%
3 4.6% 5.2% 3.0% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1%
4 1.9% 2.1% 1.2% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.6% 0.7% 0.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricKilmarnockLivingston
Played55
Form47%27%
Attack90%60%
Defense0%30%
Goals For (tot | avg)9 | 1.86 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)12 | 2.47 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

85%
FT probability

2.5+

60%
FT probability

3.5+

43%
FT probability

BTTS

72%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Kilmarnock Livingston
HATHAT
Played151530151530
Wins27%7%17%7%0%3%
Draws20%40%30%40%40%40%
Loses53%53%53%53%60%57%

Form: Kilmarnock: DDDDLWWLLLLLLDDLLLDLLDLWLWLDLW • Livingston: DWLLDLLDLLDDLLLDLLLLDDLLLLDDDD

League goals

Metric Kilmarnock Livingston
HATHAT
GF total181533191231
GF avg1.21.01.11.30.81.0
GA total253560283159
GA avg1.72.32.01.92.12.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineKilmarnockLivingston
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.573%80%70%93%
1.527%60%30%63%
2.57%40%3%23%
3.53%13%0%10%
4.50%7%0%3%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricKilmarnockLivingston
HATHAT
Clean sheets426022
Failed to score538279

Penalties

MetricKilmarnockLivingston
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%5 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total05

Streaks

MetricKilmarnockLivingston
Wins21
Draws42
Losses64

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-00-23-1—
Biggest losses0-35-12-46-2
Goals For4232
Goals Against3546

Model comparison

MetricKilmarnockLivingston
Form64%36%
Att60%40%
Def37%63%
Poisson Distribution58%42%
H2h75%25%
Goals63%38%
Total59.5%40.7%

Advice: Double chance : Kilmarnock or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.90 @ 10Bet
Draw3.80 @ Betfair
Away4.30 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.80 @ 10Bet
Under 2.52.12 @ SBO

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.71 @ Pinnacle
No2.20 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Kilmarnock = 1.64 (league 1.54), Livingston = 1.14 (league 1.19)

Livingston
0 1 2 3 4 5
Kilmarnock 0 6.2% 7.1% 4.0% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1%
1 10.2% 11.6% 6.6% 2.5% 0.7% 0.2%
2 8.3% 9.5% 5.4% 2.1% 0.6% 0.1%
3 4.6% 5.2% 3.0% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1%
4 1.9% 2.1% 1.2% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.6% 0.7% 0.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 48.3% · Draw 24.5% · Away win 26.4%

vtt 1 , vtd1