Sat, Apr 4 2026 • 14:00 • The SMISA Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.51 (league 1.56) 0.46 (league 1.20)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
28.2% 47.3% 24.5%
best score tips
0 - 0
37.8%
1 - 0
19.4%
0 - 1
17.3%
Score & goals probability table
Aberdeen
0 1 2 3 4 5
ST Mirren 0 37.8% 17.3% 4.0% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
1 19.4% 8.9% 2.0% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
2 5.0% 2.3% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 0.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricST MirrenAberdeen
Played55
Form27%13%
Attack40%30%
Defense0%20%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.83 | 0.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)10 | 28 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.70
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

61%
FT probability

2.5+

43%
FT probability

3.5+

30%
FT probability

BTTS

56%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric ST Mirren Aberdeen
HATHAT
Played151631151631
Wins27%13%19%27%25%26%
Draws33%25%29%33%6%19%
Loses40%63%52%40%69%55%

Form: ST Mirren: LDDDWWLLLDLLLDWWDLLLLDDWLLLDLLW • Aberdeen: LLLDLLWWLWDWWDWWLDLLLLWLLLDLLDL

League goals

Metric ST Mirren Aberdeen
HATHAT
GF total8172523831
GF avg0.51.10.81.50.51.0
GA total163147212546
GA avg1.11.91.51.41.61.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineST MirrenAberdeen
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.555%77%55%77%
1.519%45%19%52%
2.56%19%13%16%
3.50%6%6%3%
4.50%3%3%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricST MirrenAberdeen
HATHAT
Clean sheets707347
Failed to score951441014

Penalties

MetricST MirrenAberdeen
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total13

Streaks

MetricST MirrenAberdeen
Wins22
Draws31
Losses44

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-01-26-21-3
Biggest losses0-53-10-24-1
Goals For2363
Goals Against5434

Model comparison

MetricST MirrenAberdeen
Form67%33%
Att57%43%
Def44%56%
Poisson Distribution53%47%
H2h71%29%
Goals64%36%
Total59.3%40.7%

Advice: Double chance : ST Mirren or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.25 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.45 @ 188Bet
Away3.45 @ Superbet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.02 @ Betano
Under 2.51.93 @ 188Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.76 @ Superbet
No2.06 @ Unibet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): ST Mirren = 0.51 (league 1.56), Aberdeen = 0.46 (league 1.20)

Aberdeen
0 1 2 3 4 5
ST Mirren 0 37.8% 17.3% 4.0% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
1 19.4% 8.9% 2.0% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
2 5.0% 2.3% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 0.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 28.2% · Draw 47.3% · Away win 24.5%

vtt 1 , vtd1