Sat, Sep 6 2025 • 14:00 • Cappielow Park
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.17 (league 1.28) 1.20 (league 1.25)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
35.1% 27.9% 36.8%
best score tips
1 - 1
13.1%
0 - 1
11.2%
1 - 0
10.9%
Score & goals probability table
Raith Rovers
0 1 2 3 4 5
Morton 0 9.3% 11.2% 6.8% 2.7% 0.8% 0.2%
1 10.9% 13.1% 7.9% 3.2% 1.0% 0.2%
2 6.4% 7.7% 4.6% 1.8% 0.6% 0.1%
3 2.5% 3.0% 1.8% 0.7% 0.2% 0.1%
4 0.7% 0.9% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricMortonRaith Rovers
Played44
Form33%58%
Attack29%43%
Defense71%71%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 16 | 1.5
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 14 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

68%
FT probability

2.5+

48%
FT probability

3.5+

34%
FT probability

BTTS

65%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

3 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Morton Raith Rovers
HATHAT
Played224224
Wins0%0%0%50%50%50%
Draws100%100%100%50%0%25%
Loses0%0%0%0%50%25%

Form: Morton: DDDD • Raith Rovers: DWWL

League goals

Metric Morton Raith Rovers
HATHAT
GF total224336
GF avg1.01.01.01.51.51.5
GA total224134
GA avg1.01.01.00.51.51.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineMortonRaith Rovers
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.575%75%100%50%
1.525%25%50%25%
2.50%0%0%25%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricMortonRaith Rovers
HATHAT
Clean sheets101112
Failed to score101000

Penalties

MetricMortonRaith Rovers
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total12

Streaks

MetricMortonRaith Rovers
Wins02
Draws41
Losses00

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-00-1
Biggest losses3-2
Goals For2122
Goals Against2113

Model comparison

MetricMortonRaith Rovers
Form36%64%
Att40%60%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution43%57%
H2h75%25%
Goals60%40%
Total50.7%49.3%

Advice: Double chance : Morton or draw

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home4.16 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.30 @ Unibet
Away2.02 @ Superbet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.26 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.65 @ Betfair

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.01 @ 188Bet
No1.81 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
📊

League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Morton = 1.17 (league 1.28), Raith Rovers = 1.20 (league 1.25)

Raith Rovers
0 1 2 3 4 5
Morton 0 9.3% 11.2% 6.8% 2.7% 0.8% 0.2%
1 10.9% 13.1% 7.9% 3.2% 1.0% 0.2%
2 6.4% 7.7% 4.6% 1.8% 0.6% 0.1%
3 2.5% 3.0% 1.8% 0.7% 0.2% 0.1%
4 0.7% 0.9% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 35.1% · Draw 27.9% · Away win 36.8%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1