Sat, Sep 20 2025 • 14:00 • Gayfield Park
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.38 (league 1.28) 1.12 (league 1.25)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
12.5% 32.8% 54.6%
best score tips
0 - 1
24.9%
0 - 0
22.2%
0 - 2
14.0%
Score & goals probability table
Morton
0 1 2 3 4 5
Arbroath 0 22.2% 24.9% 14.0% 5.2% 1.5% 0.3%
1 8.5% 9.5% 5.3% 2.0% 0.6% 0.1%
2 1.6% 1.8% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
3 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricArbroathMorton
Played55
Form60%27%
Attack50%33%
Defense17%58%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.24 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)10 | 25 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.90
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.40
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.70
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

61%
FT probability

2.5+

43%
FT probability

3.5+

31%
FT probability

BTTS

62%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

3 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Arbroath Morton
HATHAT
Played336336
Wins33%67%50%0%0%0%
Draws33%0%17%67%100%83%
Loses33%33%33%33%0%17%

Form: Arbroath: DWLWWL • Morton: DDDDLD

League goals

Metric Arbroath Morton
HATHAT
GF total257224
GF avg0.71.71.20.70.70.7
GA total6511325
GA avg2.01.71.81.00.70.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineArbroathMorton
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.567%83%50%67%
1.533%33%17%17%
2.517%33%0%0%
3.50%17%0%0%
4.50%17%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricArbroathMorton
HATHAT
Clean sheets101112
Failed to score112213

Penalties

MetricArbroathMorton
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total11

Streaks

MetricArbroathMorton
Wins20
Draws14
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins1-01-3
Biggest losses0-53-00-1
Goals For1321
Goals Against5321

Model comparison

MetricArbroathMorton
Form69%31%
Att60%40%
Def33%67%
Poisson Distribution25%75%
H2h29%71%
Goals43%57%
Total43.2%56.8%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Morton

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.64 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.35 @ 188Bet
Away2.90 @ William Hill

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.92 @ Pinnacle
No2.00 @ 188Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.23 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.86 @ 188Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Arbroath = 0.38 (league 1.28), Morton = 1.12 (league 1.25)

Morton
0 1 2 3 4 5
Arbroath 0 22.2% 24.9% 14.0% 5.2% 1.5% 0.3%
1 8.5% 9.5% 5.3% 2.0% 0.6% 0.1%
2 1.6% 1.8% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
3 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 12.5% · Draw 32.8% · Away win 54.6%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1