Tue, Oct 21 2025 • 18:45 • Firhill Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.72 (league 1.33) 0.96 (league 1.24)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
26.3% 33.8% 39.8%
best score tips
0 - 0
18.5%
0 - 1
17.8%
1 - 0
13.4%
Score & goals probability table
Ayr Utd
0 1 2 3 4 5
Partick 0 18.5% 17.8% 8.6% 2.8% 0.7% 0.1%
1 13.4% 12.9% 6.2% 2.0% 0.5% 0.1%
2 4.8% 4.7% 2.3% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
3 1.2% 1.1% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricPartickAyr Utd
Played55
Form73%87%
Attack60%90%
Defense80%70%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.29 | 1.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)2 | 0.43 | 0.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

68%
FT probability

2.5+

48%
FT probability

3.5+

34%
FT probability

BTTS

72%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Partick Ayr Utd
HATHAT
Played55105510
Wins60%60%60%40%40%40%
Draws40%20%30%40%60%50%
Loses0%20%10%20%0%10%

Form: Partick: LDWWWWWDDW • Ayr Utd: DLDDDWWDWW

League goals

Metric Partick Ayr Utd
HATHAT
GF total88168614
GF avg1.61.61.61.61.21.4
GA total5712639
GA avg1.01.41.21.20.60.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LinePartickAyr Utd
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%70%80%70%
1.540%20%40%20%
2.520%10%10%0%
3.50%10%10%0%
4.50%10%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricPartickAyr Utd
HATHAT
Clean sheets123033
Failed to score000112

Penalties

MetricPartickAyr Utd
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total21

Streaks

MetricPartickAyr Utd
Wins52
Draws23
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-21-34-20-2
Biggest losses—5-10-1—
Goals For3342
Goals Against2522

Model comparison

MetricPartickAyr Utd
Form46%54%
Att40%60%
Def60%40%
Poisson Distribution42%58%
H2h60%40%
Goals70%30%
Total53.0%47.0%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Partick or draw and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.14 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.35 @ Unibet
Away3.70 @ Superbet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.15 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.74 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.91 @ 188Bet
No1.93 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Partick = 0.72 (league 1.33), Ayr Utd = 0.96 (league 1.24)

Ayr Utd
0 1 2 3 4 5
Partick 0 18.5% 17.8% 8.6% 2.8% 0.7% 0.1%
1 13.4% 12.9% 6.2% 2.0% 0.5% 0.1%
2 4.8% 4.7% 2.3% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
3 1.2% 1.1% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 26.3% · Draw 33.8% · Away win 39.8%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1