Sat, Sep 27 2025 • 14:00 • Somerset Park
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.93 (league 1.28) 0.24 (league 1.25)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
52.1% 38.5% 9.4%
best score tips
0 - 0
31.1%
1 - 0
28.8%
2 - 0
13.4%
Score & goals probability table
Airdrie United
0 1 2 3 4 5
Ayr Utd 0 31.1% 7.5% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 28.8% 6.9% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2 13.4% 3.2% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 4.1% 1.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 1.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAyr UtdAirdrie United
Played55
Form40%13%
Attack56%33%
Defense44%33%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 13 | 0.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 16 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.70
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

56%
FT probability

2.5+

39%
FT probability

3.5+

28%
FT probability

BTTS

69%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Ayr Utd Airdrie United
HATHAT
Played336437
Wins0%33%17%0%0%0%
Draws67%67%67%75%0%43%
Loses33%0%17%25%100%57%

Form: Ayr Utd: DLDDDW • Airdrie United: DLDLLDL

League goals

Metric Ayr Utd Airdrie United
HATHAT
GF total246415
GF avg0.71.31.01.00.30.7
GA total3365510
GA avg1.01.01.01.31.71.4

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAyr UtdAirdrie United
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.583%83%57%86%
1.517%17%14%57%
2.50%0%0%0%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAyr UtdAirdrie United
HATHAT
Clean sheets011101
Failed to score101123

Penalties

MetricAyr UtdAirdrie United
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricAyr UtdAirdrie United
Wins00
Draws31
Losses12

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins0-1
Biggest losses0-11-22-0
Goals For1221
Goals Against1222

Model comparison

MetricAyr UtdAirdrie United
Form75%25%
Att63%38%
Def55%45%
Poisson Distribution78%22%
H2h100%0%
Goals87%13%
Total71.6%28.6%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Ayr Utd or draw and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.62 @ William Hill
Draw4.09 @ Pinnacle
Away5.25 @ 10Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.85 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.52.06 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.85 @ Pinnacle
No2.00 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Ayr Utd = 0.93 (league 1.28), Airdrie United = 0.24 (league 1.25)

Airdrie United
0 1 2 3 4 5
Ayr Utd 0 31.1% 7.5% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 28.8% 6.9% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2 13.4% 3.2% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 4.1% 1.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 1.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 52.1% · Draw 38.5% · Away win 9.4%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1