Sat, Sep 27 2025 • 14:00 • Cappielow Park
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.93 (league 1.28) 1.36 (league 1.25)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
25.4% 27.6% 46.7%
best score tips
0 - 1
13.8%
1 - 1
12.8%
0 - 0
10.1%
Score & goals probability table
Ross County
0 1 2 3 4 5
Morton 0 10.1% 13.8% 9.4% 4.3% 1.5% 0.4%
1 9.4% 12.8% 8.7% 4.0% 1.4% 0.4%
2 4.3% 5.9% 4.0% 1.8% 0.6% 0.2%
3 1.3% 1.8% 1.2% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1%
4 0.3% 0.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricMortonRoss County
Played55
Form27%13%
Attack44%67%
Defense44%0%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.86 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 110 | 2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.40
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.70
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

69%
FT probability

2.5+

49%
FT probability

3.5+

35%
FT probability

BTTS

71%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Morton Ross County
HATHAT
Played347437
Wins0%0%0%0%0%0%
Draws67%100%86%0%100%43%
Loses33%0%14%100%0%57%

Form: Morton: DDDDLDD • Ross County: DLLDLDL

League goals

Metric Morton Ross County
HATHAT
GF total235358
GF avg0.70.80.70.81.71.1
GA total3368513
GA avg1.00.80.92.01.71.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineMortonRoss County
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.557%71%86%100%
1.514%14%29%71%
2.50%0%0%14%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricMortonRoss County
HATHAT
Clean sheets112000
Failed to score213101

Penalties

MetricMortonRoss County
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total12

Streaks

MetricMortonRoss County
Wins00
Draws41
Losses12

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins
Biggest losses0-11-3
Goals For2112
Goals Against2132

Model comparison

MetricMortonRoss County
Form67%33%
Att40%60%
Def67%33%
Poisson Distribution42%58%
H2h40%60%
Goals29%71%
Total47.5%52.5%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Ross County

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.40 @ Betfair
Draw3.55 @ Pinnacle
Away2.17 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.09 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.80 @ 188Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.89 @ Pinnacle
No1.95 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Morton = 0.93 (league 1.28), Ross County = 1.36 (league 1.25)

Ross County
0 1 2 3 4 5
Morton 0 10.1% 13.8% 9.4% 4.3% 1.5% 0.4%
1 9.4% 12.8% 8.7% 4.0% 1.4% 0.4%
2 4.3% 5.9% 4.0% 1.8% 0.6% 0.2%
3 1.3% 1.8% 1.2% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1%
4 0.3% 0.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 25.4% · Draw 27.6% · Away win 46.7%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1