Sat, Oct 4 2025 • 14:00 • Albert Bartlett Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.62 (league 1.28) 0.83 (league 1.25)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
25.2% 37.1% 37.7%
best score tips
0 - 0
23.3%
0 - 1
19.4%
1 - 0
14.5%
Score & goals probability table
Morton
0 1 2 3 4 5
Airdrie United 0 23.3% 19.4% 8.1% 2.3% 0.5% 0.1%
1 14.5% 12.1% 5.1% 1.4% 0.3% 0.0%
2 4.5% 3.8% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
3 0.9% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAirdrie UnitedMorton
Played55
Form7%27%
Attack36%27%
Defense18%64%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.83 | 0.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)9 | 1.84 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.10
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

59%
FT probability

2.5+

42%
FT probability

3.5+

30%
FT probability

BTTS

67%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Airdrie United Morton
HATHAT
Played448448
Wins0%0%0%0%0%0%
Draws75%0%38%75%100%88%
Loses25%100%63%25%0%13%

Form: Airdrie United: DLDLLDLL • Morton: DDDDLDDD

League goals

Metric Airdrie United Morton
HATHAT
GF total437336
GF avg1.00.80.90.80.80.8
GA total5914437
GA avg1.32.31.81.00.80.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAirdrie UnitedMorton
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.563%88%63%75%
1.525%63%13%13%
2.50%13%0%0%
3.50%13%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAirdrie UnitedMorton
HATHAT
Clean sheets101112
Failed to score123213

Penalties

MetricAirdrie UnitedMorton
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total01

Streaks

MetricAirdrie UnitedMorton
Wins00
Draws14
Losses21

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins————
Biggest losses1-24-20-1—
Goals For2221
Goals Against2421

Model comparison

MetricAirdrie UnitedMorton
Form20%80%
Att57%43%
Def31%69%
Poisson Distribution45%55%
H2h38%62%
Goals47%53%
Total39.7%60.3%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Morton and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.90 @ Bet365
Draw3.47 @ Pinnacle
Away2.55 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.10 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.80 @ Betano

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.87 @ Superbet
No2.00 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Airdrie United = 0.62 (league 1.28), Morton = 0.83 (league 1.25)

Morton
0 1 2 3 4 5
Airdrie United 0 23.3% 19.4% 8.1% 2.3% 0.5% 0.1%
1 14.5% 12.1% 5.1% 1.4% 0.3% 0.0%
2 4.5% 3.8% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
3 0.9% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 25.2% · Draw 37.1% · Away win 37.7%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1