Sat, Oct 4 2025 • 14:00 • McDiarmid Park
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.17 (league 1.29) 0.85 (league 1.23)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
65.3% 19.0% 13.4%
best score tips
2 - 0
11.5%
1 - 0
10.6%
2 - 1
9.8%
Score & goals probability table
Ayr Utd
0 1 2 3 4 5
ST Johnstone 0 4.9% 4.1% 1.8% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
1 10.6% 9.0% 3.8% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
2 11.5% 9.8% 4.1% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0%
3 8.3% 7.1% 3.0% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
4 4.5% 3.8% 1.6% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
5 2.0% 1.7% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricST JohnstoneAyr Utd
Played55
Form87%60%
Attack82%82%
Defense64%45%
Goals For (tot | avg)9 | 1.89 | 1.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.86 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.10
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

81%
FT probability

2.5+

57%
FT probability

3.5+

40%
FT probability

BTTS

79%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric ST Johnstone Ayr Utd
HATHAT
Played448437
Wins75%100%88%25%33%29%
Draws25%0%13%50%67%57%
Loses0%0%0%25%0%14%

Form: ST Johnstone: WWWDWWWW • Ayr Utd: DLDDDWW

League goals

Metric ST Johnstone Ayr Utd
HATHAT
GF total117186410
GF avg2.81.82.31.51.31.4
GA total325538
GA avg0.80.50.61.31.01.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineST JohnstoneAyr Utd
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%63%86%86%
1.575%0%29%29%
2.525%0%14%0%
3.513%0%14%0%
4.513%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricST JohnstoneAyr Utd
HATHAT
Clean sheets123011
Failed to score000101

Penalties

MetricST JohnstoneAyr Utd
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total10

Streaks

MetricST JohnstoneAyr Utd
Wins30
Draws13
Losses01

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-10-24-20-1
Biggest losses0-1
Goals For5242
Goals Against1122

Model comparison

MetricST JohnstoneAyr Utd
Form59%41%
Att50%50%
Def60%40%
Poisson Distribution74%26%
H2h67%33%
Goals57%43%
Total61.2%38.8%

Advice: Double chance : ST Johnstone or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.73 @ Unibet
Draw3.82 @ Pinnacle
Away5.00 @ Betfair

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.90 @ SBO
Under 2.51.95 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.86 @ 188Bet
No1.97 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): ST Johnstone = 2.17 (league 1.29), Ayr Utd = 0.85 (league 1.23)

Ayr Utd
0 1 2 3 4 5
ST Johnstone 0 4.9% 4.1% 1.8% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
1 10.6% 9.0% 3.8% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
2 11.5% 9.8% 4.1% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0%
3 8.3% 7.1% 3.0% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
4 4.5% 3.8% 1.6% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
5 2.0% 1.7% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 65.3% · Draw 19.0% · Away win 13.4%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1