Sat, Oct 11 2025 • 14:00 • Cappielow Park
Match Finished
1 - 1
Expected Goals
0.93 (league 1.28) 1.44 (league 1.25)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
24.3% 26.7% 48.6%
best score tips
0 - 1
13.4%
1 - 1
12.5%
0 - 2
9.7%
Score & goals probability table
Partick
0 1 2 3 4 5
Morton 0 9.3% 13.4% 9.7% 4.7% 1.7% 0.5%
1 8.7% 12.5% 9.0% 4.3% 1.6% 0.5%
2 4.0% 5.8% 4.2% 2.0% 0.7% 0.2%
3 1.3% 1.8% 1.3% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1%
4 0.3% 0.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricMortonPartick
Played55
Form40%87%
Attack57%100%
Defense43%43%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.89 | 1.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.84 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

72%
FT probability

2.5+

51%
FT probability

3.5+

36%
FT probability

BTTS

70%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Morton Partick
HATHAT
Played459448
Wins0%20%11%50%75%63%
Draws75%80%78%50%0%25%
Loses25%0%11%0%25%13%

Form: Morton: DDDDLDDDW • Partick: LDWWWWWD

League goals

Metric Morton Partick
HATHAT
GF total3587714
GF avg0.81.00.91.81.81.8
GA total4485611
GA avg1.00.80.91.31.51.4

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineMortonPartick
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.567%78%100%75%
1.522%11%50%25%
2.50%0%25%13%
3.50%0%0%13%
4.50%0%0%13%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricMortonPartick
HATHAT
Clean sheets112022
Failed to score213000

Penalties

MetricMortonPartick
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total12

Streaks

MetricMortonPartick
Wins05
Draws41
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins1-23-21-3
Biggest losses0-15-1
Goals For2233
Goals Against2125

Model comparison

MetricMortonPartick
Form32%68%
Att31%69%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution40%60%
H2h50%50%
Goals50%50%
Total42.2%57.8%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Partick

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.53 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.40 @ Unibet
Away2.15 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.11 @ SBO
Under 2.51.76 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.92 @ 188Bet
No1.95 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Morton = 0.93 (league 1.28), Partick = 1.44 (league 1.25)

Partick
0 1 2 3 4 5
Morton 0 9.3% 13.4% 9.7% 4.7% 1.7% 0.5%
1 8.7% 12.5% 9.0% 4.3% 1.6% 0.5%
2 4.0% 5.8% 4.2% 2.0% 0.7% 0.2%
3 1.3% 1.8% 1.3% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1%
4 0.3% 0.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 24.3% · Draw 26.7% · Away win 48.6%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1