Sat, Oct 18 2025 • 14:00 • Somerset Park
Match Finished
2 - 1
Expected Goals
0.91 (league 1.32) 1.05 (league 1.24)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
30.6% 31.1% 38.2%
best score tips
0 - 1
14.8%
0 - 0
14.1%
1 - 1
13.5%
Score & goals probability table
Morton
0 1 2 3 4 5
Ayr Utd 0 14.1% 14.8% 7.8% 2.7% 0.7% 0.2%
1 12.8% 13.5% 7.1% 2.5% 0.7% 0.1%
2 5.8% 6.1% 3.2% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1%
3 1.8% 1.8% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.4% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAyr UtdMorton
Played55
Form73%47%
Attack73%45%
Defense73%64%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 1.65 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)3 | 0.64 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.10
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

61%
FT probability

2.5+

43%
FT probability

3.5+

31%
FT probability

BTTS

72%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Ayr Utd Morton
HATHAT
Played4595510
Wins25%40%33%0%20%10%
Draws50%60%56%80%80%80%
Loses25%0%11%20%0%10%

Form: Ayr Utd: DLDDDWWDW • Morton: DDDDLDDDWD

League goals

Metric Ayr Utd Morton
HATHAT
GF total6612459
GF avg1.51.21.30.81.00.9
GA total538549
GA avg1.30.60.91.00.80.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAyr UtdMorton
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.578%67%70%80%
1.533%22%20%10%
2.511%0%0%0%
3.511%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAyr UtdMorton
HATHAT
Clean sheets033112
Failed to score112213

Penalties

MetricAyr UtdMorton
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total11

Streaks

MetricAyr UtdMorton
Wins21
Draws34
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-20-2—1-2
Biggest losses0-1—0-1—
Goals For4222
Goals Against2221

Model comparison

MetricAyr UtdMorton
Form61%39%
Att62%38%
Def57%43%
Poisson Distribution48%52%
H2h50%50%
Goals55%45%
Total55.5%44.5%

Advice: Double chance : Ayr Utd or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.91 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.35 @ Marathonbet
Away4.45 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.03 @ 188Bet
No1.85 @ William Hill

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.17 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.70 @ Bet365
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Ayr Utd = 0.91 (league 1.32), Morton = 1.05 (league 1.24)

Morton
0 1 2 3 4 5
Ayr Utd 0 14.1% 14.8% 7.8% 2.7% 0.7% 0.2%
1 12.8% 13.5% 7.1% 2.5% 0.7% 0.1%
2 5.8% 6.1% 3.2% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1%
3 1.8% 1.8% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.4% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 30.6% · Draw 31.1% · Away win 38.2%

vtt 1 , vtd1