Sat, Oct 25 2025 • 14:00 • Cappielow Park
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.60 (league 1.34) 1.27 (league 1.26)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
17.5% 29.5% 52.8%
best score tips
0 - 1
19.6%
0 - 0
15.4%
0 - 2
12.5%
Score & goals probability table
ST Johnstone
0 1 2 3 4 5
Morton 0 15.4% 19.6% 12.5% 5.3% 1.7% 0.4%
1 9.2% 11.7% 7.5% 3.2% 1.0% 0.3%
2 2.8% 3.5% 2.2% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1%
3 0.5% 0.7% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricMortonST Johnstone
Played55
Form40%53%
Attack55%45%
Defense45%55%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.25 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.25 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.40
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

62%
FT probability

2.5+

44%
FT probability

3.5+

31%
FT probability

BTTS

68%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

3 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Morton ST Johnstone
HATHAT
Played56116511
Wins0%17%9%50%80%64%
Draws80%67%73%50%0%27%
Loses20%17%18%0%20%9%

Form: Morton: DDDDLDDDWDL • ST Johnstone: WWWDWWWWDDL

League goals

Metric Morton ST Johnstone
HATHAT
GF total461011819
GF avg0.81.00.91.81.61.7
GA total5611358
GA avg1.01.01.00.51.00.7

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineMortonST Johnstone
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.573%82%82%55%
1.518%18%55%9%
2.50%0%18%9%
3.50%0%9%0%
4.50%0%9%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricMortonST Johnstone
HATHAT
Clean sheets112325
Failed to score213202

Penalties

MetricMortonST Johnstone
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total11

Streaks

MetricMortonST Johnstone
Wins14
Draws42
Losses10

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins—1-25-10-2
Biggest losses0-12-1—3-1
Goals For2252
Goals Against2213

Model comparison

MetricMortonST Johnstone
Form43%57%
Att55%45%
Def45%55%
Poisson Distribution32%68%
H2h13%88%
Goals14%86%
Total33.7%66.5%

Advice: Double chance : draw or ST Johnstone

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home5.42 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.88 @ Pinnacle
Away1.74 @ Dafabet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.96 @ SBO
Under 2.51.91 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.92 @ Pinnacle
No1.91 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Morton = 0.60 (league 1.34), ST Johnstone = 1.27 (league 1.26)

ST Johnstone
0 1 2 3 4 5
Morton 0 15.4% 19.6% 12.5% 5.3% 1.7% 0.4%
1 9.2% 11.7% 7.5% 3.2% 1.0% 0.3%
2 2.8% 3.5% 2.2% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1%
3 0.5% 0.7% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 17.5% · Draw 29.5% · Away win 52.8%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1