Fri, Oct 31 2025 • 19:45 • Somerset Park
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.44 (league 1.34) 1.91 (league 1.26)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
28.7% 22.2% 47.4%
best score tips
1 - 1
9.6%
1 - 2
9.2%
2 - 1
6.9%
Score & goals probability table
Dunfermline
0 1 2 3 4 5
Ayr Utd 0 3.5% 6.7% 6.4% 4.1% 2.0% 0.7%
1 5.0% 9.6% 9.2% 5.9% 2.8% 1.1%
2 3.6% 6.9% 6.6% 4.2% 2.0% 0.8%
3 1.7% 3.3% 3.2% 2.0% 1.0% 0.4%
4 0.6% 1.2% 1.1% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1%
5 0.2% 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAyr UtdDunfermline
Played55
Form53%47%
Attack42%67%
Defense75%58%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 18 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)3 | 0.65 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.40
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

76%
FT probability

2.5+

54%
FT probability

3.5+

38%
FT probability

BTTS

65%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Ayr Utd Dunfermline
HATHAT
Played57126612
Wins40%29%33%33%33%33%
Draws40%57%50%33%17%25%
Loses20%14%17%33%50%42%

Form: Ayr Utd: DLDDDWWDWWLD • Dunfermline: DWLDWLLLDWWL

League goals

Metric Ayr Utd Dunfermline
HATHAT
GF total871561218
GF avg1.61.01.31.02.01.5
GA total65115712
GA avg1.20.70.90.81.21.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAyr UtdDunfermline
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.575%67%58%50%
1.533%25%50%42%
2.58%0%17%8%
3.58%0%17%0%
4.50%0%8%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAyr UtdDunfermline
HATHAT
Clean sheets044336
Failed to score123325

Penalties

MetricAyr UtdDunfermline
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total10

Streaks

MetricAyr UtdDunfermline
Wins22
Draws31
Losses13

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-20-22-00-5
Biggest losses0-12-10-22-0
Goals For4225
Goals Against2223

Model comparison

MetricAyr UtdDunfermline
Form53%47%
Att38%62%
Def63%38%
Poisson Distribution43%57%
H2h93%7%
Goals89%11%
Total63.2%37.0%

Advice: Double chance : Ayr Utd or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.00 @ Betfair
Draw3.50 @ William Hill
Away4.20 @ 10Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.42 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.62 @ 888Sport

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.20 @ Bet365
No1.75 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Ayr Utd = 1.44 (league 1.34), Dunfermline = 1.91 (league 1.26)

Dunfermline
0 1 2 3 4 5
Ayr Utd 0 3.5% 6.7% 6.4% 4.1% 2.0% 0.7%
1 5.0% 9.6% 9.2% 5.9% 2.8% 1.1%
2 3.6% 6.9% 6.6% 4.2% 2.0% 0.8%
3 1.7% 3.3% 3.2% 2.0% 1.0% 0.4%
4 0.6% 1.2% 1.1% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1%
5 0.2% 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 28.7% · Draw 22.2% · Away win 47.4%

Vtot 2 , Vtod1