Sat, Nov 8 2025 • 15:00 • Cappielow Park
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.90 (league 1.32) 1.21 (league 1.24)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
27.5% 29.4% 42.9%
best score tips
0 - 1
14.7%
1 - 1
13.2%
0 - 0
12.1%
Score & goals probability table
Arbroath
0 1 2 3 4 5
Morton 0 12.1% 14.7% 8.8% 3.6% 1.1% 0.3%
1 10.9% 13.2% 8.0% 3.2% 1.0% 0.2%
2 4.9% 6.0% 3.6% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1%
3 1.5% 1.8% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.3% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricMortonArbroath
Played55
Form33%67%
Attack33%73%
Defense40%73%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 111 | 2.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)9 | 1.84 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.70
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.20
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

71%
FT probability

2.5+

50%
FT probability

3.5+

35%
FT probability

BTTS

69%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Morton Arbroath
HATHAT
Played67137613
Wins0%14%8%57%33%46%
Draws67%71%69%29%17%23%
Loses33%14%23%14%50%31%

Form: Morton: DDDDLDDDWDLLD • Arbroath: DWLWWLDLDWWLW

League goals

Metric Morton Arbroath
HATHAT
GF total471113619
GF avg0.71.00.81.91.01.5
GA total971691019
GA avg1.51.01.21.31.71.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineMortonArbroath
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.569%85%69%85%
1.515%23%38%23%
2.50%8%31%23%
3.50%8%8%8%
4.50%0%0%8%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricMortonArbroath
HATHAT
Clean sheets112202
Failed to score314134

Penalties

MetricMortonArbroath
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total11

Streaks

MetricMortonArbroath
Wins12
Draws41
Losses21

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins—1-24-11-3
Biggest losses0-42-10-53-0
Goals For2243
Goals Against4253

Model comparison

MetricMortonArbroath
Form33%67%
Att31%69%
Def31%69%
Poisson Distribution39%61%
H2h71%29%
Goals57%43%
Total43.7%56.3%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Arbroath

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.31 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.30 @ Unibet
Away3.30 @ Betfair

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.21 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.74 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.88 @ Pinnacle
No1.92 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Morton = 0.90 (league 1.32), Arbroath = 1.21 (league 1.24)

Arbroath
0 1 2 3 4 5
Morton 0 12.1% 14.7% 8.8% 3.6% 1.1% 0.3%
1 10.9% 13.2% 8.0% 3.2% 1.0% 0.2%
2 4.9% 6.0% 3.6% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1%
3 1.5% 1.8% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.3% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 27.5% · Draw 29.4% · Away win 42.9%

Vtot 5 , Vtod1