Sat, Nov 15 2025 • 15:00 • Somerset Park
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.56 (league 1.33) 0.91 (league 1.19)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
52.1% 25.5% 21.9%
best score tips
1 - 0
13.2%
1 - 1
12.0%
2 - 0
10.3%
Score & goals probability table
Arbroath
0 1 2 3 4 5
Ayr Utd 0 8.5% 7.7% 3.5% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
1 13.2% 12.0% 5.4% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1%
2 10.3% 9.4% 4.2% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1%
3 5.4% 4.9% 2.2% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
4 2.1% 1.9% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.7% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAyr UtdArbroath
Played55
Form33%60%
Attack38%63%
Defense56%75%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.210 | 2
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.44 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.20
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

73%
FT probability

2.5+

51%
FT probability

3.5+

36%
FT probability

BTTS

70%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Ayr Utd Arbroath
HATHAT
Played68147714
Wins33%25%29%57%29%43%
Draws33%63%50%29%14%21%
Loses33%13%21%14%57%36%

Form: Ayr Utd: DLDDDWWDWWLDLD • Arbroath: DWLWWLDLDWWLWL

League goals

Metric Ayr Utd Arbroath
HATHAT
GF total8101813619
GF avg1.31.31.31.90.91.4
GA total781591120
GA avg1.21.01.11.31.61.4

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAyr UtdArbroath
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.571%71%64%86%
1.536%29%36%21%
2.514%7%29%21%
3.57%0%7%7%
4.50%0%0%7%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAyr UtdArbroath
HATHAT
Clean sheets044202
Failed to score224145

Penalties

MetricAyr UtdArbroath
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total11

Streaks

MetricAyr UtdArbroath
Wins22
Draws31
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-20-24-11-3
Biggest losses0-12-10-53-0
Goals For4343
Goals Against2353

Model comparison

MetricAyr UtdArbroath
Form36%64%
Att38%63%
Def36%64%
Poisson Distribution64%36%
H2h85%15%
Goals92%8%
Total58.5%41.7%

Advice: Double chance : Ayr Utd or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.75 @ William Hill
Draw3.70 @ 188Bet
Away4.82 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.02 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.86 @ 188Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.94 @ 188Bet
No1.91 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Ayr Utd = 1.56 (league 1.33), Arbroath = 0.91 (league 1.19)

Arbroath
0 1 2 3 4 5
Ayr Utd 0 8.5% 7.7% 3.5% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
1 13.2% 12.0% 5.4% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1%
2 10.3% 9.4% 4.2% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1%
3 5.4% 4.9% 2.2% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
4 2.1% 1.9% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.7% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 52.1% · Draw 25.5% · Away win 21.9%

vtt 10 , vtd2