Tue, Nov 25 2025 • 19:45 • Firhill Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.58 (league 1.33) 1.38 (league 1.24)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
41.8% 24.4% 32.9%
best score tips
1 - 1
11.3%
2 - 1
8.9%
1 - 0
8.2%
Score & goals probability table
Dunfermline
0 1 2 3 4 5
Partick 0 5.2% 7.1% 4.9% 2.3% 0.8% 0.2%
1 8.2% 11.3% 7.8% 3.6% 1.2% 0.3%
2 6.5% 8.9% 6.1% 2.8% 1.0% 0.3%
3 3.4% 4.7% 3.2% 1.5% 0.5% 0.1%
4 1.4% 1.9% 1.3% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.4% 0.6% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricPartickDunfermline
Played55
Form67%67%
Attack83%83%
Defense58%58%
Goals For (tot | avg)10 | 210 | 2
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 15 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.90
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

79%
FT probability

2.5+

56%
FT probability

3.5+

40%
FT probability

BTTS

68%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Partick Dunfermline
HATHAT
Played87158715
Wins75%43%60%38%43%40%
Draws25%29%27%38%14%27%
Loses0%29%13%25%43%33%

Form: Partick: LDWWWWWDDWWLWDW • Dunfermline: DWLDWLLLDWWLWDW

League goals

Metric Partick Dunfermline
HATHAT
GF total1792691322
GF avg2.11.31.71.11.91.5
GA total710177714
GA avg0.91.41.10.91.00.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LinePartickDunfermline
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.593%73%67%47%
1.547%20%47%40%
2.520%7%13%7%
3.57%7%13%0%
4.57%7%7%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricPartickDunfermline
HATHAT
Clean sheets224448
Failed to score011325

Penalties

MetricPartickDunfermline
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total20

Streaks

MetricPartickDunfermline
Wins52
Draws21
Losses13

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-01-32-00-5
Biggest losses—5-10-22-0
Goals For5325
Goals Against2523

Model comparison

MetricPartickDunfermline
Form50%50%
Att50%50%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution54%46%
H2h71%29%
Goals56%44%
Total55.2%44.8%

Advice: Double chance : Partick or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.95 @ William Hill
Draw3.35 @ Unibet
Away4.40 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.25 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.66 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.17 @ 188Bet
No1.83 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Partick = 1.58 (league 1.33), Dunfermline = 1.38 (league 1.24)

Dunfermline
0 1 2 3 4 5
Partick 0 5.2% 7.1% 4.9% 2.3% 0.8% 0.2%
1 8.2% 11.3% 7.8% 3.6% 1.2% 0.3%
2 6.5% 8.9% 6.1% 2.8% 1.0% 0.3%
3 3.4% 4.7% 3.2% 1.5% 0.5% 0.1%
4 1.4% 1.9% 1.3% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.4% 0.6% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 41.8% · Draw 24.4% · Away win 32.9%

Vtot 9 , Vtod1