Sat, Nov 22 2025 • 15:00 • East End Park
Not Started
—
Expected Goals
0.74 (league 1.34) 1.04 (league 1.26)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
25.6% 32.6% 41.7%
best score tips
0 - 1
17.5%
0 - 0
16.9%
1 - 1
13.0%
Score & goals probability table
Morton
0 1 2 3 4 5
Dunfermline 0 16.9% 17.5% 9.1% 3.1% 0.8% 0.2%
1 12.5% 13.0% 6.7% 2.3% 0.6% 0.1%
2 4.6% 4.8% 2.5% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
3 1.1% 1.2% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricDunfermlineMorton
Played55
Form67%47%
Attack52%29%
Defense76%67%
Goals For (tot | avg)11 | 2.26 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 17 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.40
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.90
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

64%
FT probability

2.5+

45%
FT probability

3.5+

32%
FT probability

BTTS

63%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Dunfermline Morton
HATHAT
Played77147815
Wins29%43%36%14%25%20%
Draws43%14%29%57%63%60%
Loses29%43%36%29%13%20%

Form: Dunfermline: DWLDWLLLDWWLWD • Morton: DDDDLDDDWDLLDWW

League goals

Metric Dunfermline Morton
HATHAT
GF total8132151015
GF avg1.11.91.50.71.31.0
GA total77149716
GA avg1.01.01.01.30.91.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineDunfermlineMorton
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.564%50%73%73%
1.550%43%20%20%
2.514%7%7%7%
3.514%0%0%7%
4.57%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricDunfermlineMorton
HATHAT
Clean sheets347224
Failed to score325314

Penalties

MetricDunfermlineMorton
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total01

Streaks

MetricDunfermlineMorton
Wins21
Draws14
Losses32

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-00-51-00-3
Biggest losses0-22-00-42-1
Goals For2523
Goals Against2342

Model comparison

MetricDunfermlineMorton
Form59%41%
Att65%35%
Def58%42%
Poisson Distribution42%58%
H2h38%62%
Goals29%71%
Total48.5%51.5%

Advice: Double chance : Dunfermline or draw

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.00 @ William Hill
Draw3.15 @ Unibet
Away4.20 @ Betfair

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.50 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.53 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.20 @ Bet365
No1.70 @ 188Bet
Select to view full market tables.
📊

League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Dunfermline = 0.74 (league 1.34), Morton = 1.04 (league 1.26)

Morton
0 1 2 3 4 5
Dunfermline 0 16.9% 17.5% 9.1% 3.1% 0.8% 0.2%
1 12.5% 13.0% 6.7% 2.3% 0.6% 0.1%
2 4.6% 4.8% 2.5% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
3 1.1% 1.2% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 25.6% · Draw 32.6% · Away win 41.7%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1