Sat, Dec 6 2025 • 15:00 • East End Park
Not Started
Expected Goals
1.25 (league 1.32) 0.66 (league 1.23)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
50.3% 29.8% 19.7%
best score tips
1 - 0
18.5%
0 - 0
14.8%
1 - 1
12.2%
Score & goals probability table
Arbroath
0 1 2 3 4 5
Dunfermline 0 14.8% 9.8% 3.2% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
1 18.5% 12.2% 4.0% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0%
2 11.5% 7.6% 2.5% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
3 4.8% 3.2% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 1.5% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricDunfermlineArbroath
Played55
Form47%33%
Attack75%50%
Defense25%63%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.24 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.23 | 0.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.40
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

66%
FT probability

2.5+

47%
FT probability

3.5+

33%
FT probability

BTTS

61%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Dunfermline Arbroath
HATHAT
Played88168816
Wins38%38%38%50%25%38%
Draws38%13%25%38%25%31%
Loses25%50%38%13%50%31%

Form: Dunfermline: DWLDWLLLDWWLWDWL • Arbroath: DWLWWLDLDWWLWLDD

League goals

Metric Dunfermline Arbroath
HATHAT
GF total9132213720
GF avg1.11.61.41.60.91.3
GA total781591221
GA avg0.91.00.91.11.51.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineDunfermlineArbroath
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.563%50%63%81%
1.544%38%31%19%
2.513%6%25%19%
3.513%0%6%6%
4.56%0%0%6%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricDunfermlineArbroath
HATHAT
Clean sheets448303
Failed to score336246

Penalties

MetricDunfermlineArbroath
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total01

Streaks

MetricDunfermlineArbroath
Wins22
Draws11
Losses31

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-00-54-11-3
Biggest losses0-22-00-53-0
Goals For2543
Goals Against2353

Model comparison

MetricDunfermlineArbroath
Form58%42%
Att60%40%
Def33%67%
Poisson Distribution66%34%
H2h85%15%
Goals76%24%
Total63.0%37.0%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Dunfermline or draw and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.07 @ Unibet
Draw3.34 @ Pinnacle
Away4.00 @ Bet365

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.27 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.65 @ 10Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.03 @ Pinnacle
No1.83 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Dunfermline = 1.25 (league 1.32), Arbroath = 0.66 (league 1.23)

Arbroath
0 1 2 3 4 5
Dunfermline 0 14.8% 9.8% 3.2% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
1 18.5% 12.2% 4.0% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0%
2 11.5% 7.6% 2.5% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
3 4.8% 3.2% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 1.5% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 50.3% · Draw 29.8% · Away win 19.7%

Vtot 7 , Vtod3