Fri, Dec 12 2025 • 19:45 • Somerset Park
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.92 (league 1.32) 1.53 (league 1.24)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
22.6% 25.8% 51.1%
best score tips
0 - 1
13.2%
1 - 1
12.1%
0 - 2
10.1%
Score & goals probability table
ST Johnstone
0 1 2 3 4 5
Ayr Utd 0 8.7% 13.2% 10.1% 5.2% 2.0% 0.6%
1 7.9% 12.1% 9.3% 4.7% 1.8% 0.6%
2 3.6% 5.6% 4.3% 2.2% 0.8% 0.3%
3 1.1% 1.7% 1.3% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1%
4 0.3% 0.4% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAyr UtdST Johnstone
Played55
Form40%53%
Attack56%100%
Defense44%22%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 110 | 2
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 17 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.10
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

71%
FT probability

2.5+

50%
FT probability

3.5+

36%
FT probability

BTTS

68%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Ayr Utd ST Johnstone
HATHAT
Played89179817
Wins25%33%29%56%63%59%
Draws50%56%53%44%13%29%
Loses25%11%18%0%25%12%

Form: Ayr Utd: DLDDDWWDWWLDLDDWD • ST Johnstone: WWWDWWWWDDLWWDWLD

League goals

Metric Ayr Utd ST Johnstone
HATHAT
GF total91120181533
GF avg1.11.21.22.01.91.9
GA total88166915
GA avg1.00.90.90.71.10.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAyr UtdST Johnstone
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.571%65%82%53%
1.529%24%59%24%
2.512%6%29%12%
3.56%0%18%0%
4.50%0%6%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAyr UtdST Johnstone
HATHAT
Clean sheets156538
Failed to score325303

Penalties

MetricAyr UtdST Johnstone
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total12

Streaks

MetricAyr UtdST Johnstone
Wins24
Draws32
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-20-25-10-4
Biggest losses0-12-1—3-1
Goals For4354
Goals Against2333

Model comparison

MetricAyr UtdST Johnstone
Form43%57%
Att33%67%
Def58%42%
Poisson Distribution38%62%
H2h36%64%
Goals43%57%
Total41.8%58.2%

Advice: Double chance : draw or ST Johnstone

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.71 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.49 @ Pinnacle
Away2.17 @ 188Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.10 @ Betfair
Under 2.51.81 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.88 @ Pinnacle
No2.00 @ Unibet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Ayr Utd = 0.92 (league 1.32), ST Johnstone = 1.53 (league 1.24)

ST Johnstone
0 1 2 3 4 5
Ayr Utd 0 8.7% 13.2% 10.1% 5.2% 2.0% 0.6%
1 7.9% 12.1% 9.3% 4.7% 1.8% 0.6%
2 3.6% 5.6% 4.3% 2.2% 0.8% 0.3%
3 1.1% 1.7% 1.3% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1%
4 0.3% 0.4% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 22.6% · Draw 25.8% · Away win 51.1%

Vtot 15 , Vtod1