Sat, Dec 20 2025 • 15:00 • East End Park
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.74 (league 1.33) 1.00 (league 1.20)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
26.3% 33.1% 40.6%
best score tips
0 - 1
17.5%
0 - 0
17.4%
1 - 1
13.0%
Score & goals probability table
Ayr Utd
0 1 2 3 4 5
Dunfermline 0 17.4% 17.5% 8.8% 2.9% 0.7% 0.1%
1 13.0% 13.0% 6.5% 2.2% 0.5% 0.1%
2 4.8% 4.8% 2.4% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
3 1.2% 1.2% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricDunfermlineAyr Utd
Played55
Form33%40%
Attack28%39%
Defense67%56%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 17 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.28 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.90
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

63%
FT probability

2.5+

44%
FT probability

3.5+

31%
FT probability

BTTS

59%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Dunfermline Ayr Utd
HATHAT
Played99189918
Wins33%33%33%22%33%28%
Draws33%22%28%44%56%50%
Loses33%44%39%33%11%22%

Form: Dunfermline: DWLDWLLLDWWLWDWLLD • Ayr Utd: DLDDDWWDWWLDLDDWDL

League goals

Metric Dunfermline Ayr Utd
HATHAT
GF total101424111122
GF avg1.11.61.31.21.21.2
GA total991812820
GA avg1.01.01.01.30.91.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineDunfermlineAyr Utd
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.567%56%72%67%
1.539%39%33%28%
2.511%6%11%11%
3.511%0%6%6%
4.56%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricDunfermlineAyr Utd
HATHAT
Clean sheets448156
Failed to score336325

Penalties

MetricDunfermlineAyr Utd
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total01

Streaks

MetricDunfermlineAyr Utd
Wins22
Draws13
Losses31

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-00-54-20-2
Biggest losses0-22-02-42-1
Goals For2543
Goals Against2343

Model comparison

MetricDunfermlineAyr Utd
Form45%55%
Att42%58%
Def57%43%
Poisson Distribution41%59%
H2h20%80%
Goals13%88%
Total36.3%63.8%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Ayr Utd

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.70 @ Unibet
Draw3.15 @ 188Bet
Away2.90 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.33 @ Unibet
Under 2.51.62 @ 10Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.95 @ Unibet
No1.87 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Dunfermline = 0.74 (league 1.33), Ayr Utd = 1.00 (league 1.20)

Ayr Utd
0 1 2 3 4 5
Dunfermline 0 17.4% 17.5% 8.8% 2.9% 0.7% 0.1%
1 13.0% 13.0% 6.5% 2.2% 0.5% 0.1%
2 4.8% 4.8% 2.4% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
3 1.2% 1.2% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 26.3% · Draw 33.1% · Away win 40.6%

vtt 13 , vtd1