Sat, Dec 27 2025 • 15:00 • Gayfield Park
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.80 (league 1.32) 0.89 (league 1.24)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
57.8% 22.9% 18.3%
best score tips
1 - 0
12.2%
2 - 0
11.0%
1 - 1
10.9%
Score & goals probability table
Airdrie United
0 1 2 3 4 5
Arbroath 0 6.8% 6.1% 2.7% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
1 12.2% 10.9% 4.8% 1.4% 0.3% 0.1%
2 11.0% 9.8% 4.4% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1%
3 6.6% 5.9% 2.6% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
4 3.0% 2.6% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 1.1% 0.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricArbroathAirdrie United
Played55
Form73%60%
Attack47%40%
Defense80%67%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.46 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)3 | 0.65 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.70
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

72%
FT probability

2.5+

51%
FT probability

3.5+

36%
FT probability

BTTS

65%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Arbroath Airdrie United
HATHAT
Played9101910919
Wins56%40%47%10%33%21%
Draws33%20%26%40%11%26%
Loses11%40%26%50%56%53%

Form: Arbroath: DWLWWLDLDWWLWLDDWWW • Airdrie United: DLDLLDLLLDLWLDWLWWL

League goals

Metric Arbroath Airdrie United
HATHAT
GF total1511267916
GF avg1.71.11.40.71.00.8
GA total101323161329
GA avg1.11.31.21.61.41.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineArbroathAirdrie United
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.568%79%58%74%
1.542%16%21%47%
2.521%16%5%21%
3.55%5%0%11%
4.50%5%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricArbroathAirdrie United
HATHAT
Clean sheets314235
Failed to score246448

Penalties

MetricArbroathAirdrie United
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total11

Streaks

MetricArbroathAirdrie United
Wins22
Draws21
Losses13

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-11-31-00-3
Biggest losses0-53-00-43-0
Goals For4323
Goals Against5344

Model comparison

MetricArbroathAirdrie United
Form55%45%
Att54%46%
Def63%38%
Poisson Distribution66%34%
H2h20%80%
Goals29%71%
Total47.8%52.3%

Advice: Double chance : Arbroath or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.83 @ Betano
Draw3.67 @ Pinnacle
Away4.35 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.05 @ SBO
Under 2.51.83 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.91 @ William Hill
No1.92 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Arbroath = 1.80 (league 1.32), Airdrie United = 0.89 (league 1.24)

Airdrie United
0 1 2 3 4 5
Arbroath 0 6.8% 6.1% 2.7% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
1 12.2% 10.9% 4.8% 1.4% 0.3% 0.1%
2 11.0% 9.8% 4.4% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1%
3 6.6% 5.9% 2.6% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
4 3.0% 2.6% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 1.1% 0.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 57.8% · Draw 22.9% · Away win 18.3%

Vtot 26 , Vtod1