Sat, Dec 27 2025 • 15:00 • Cappielow Park
Match Finished
1 - 1
Expected Goals
0.60 (league 1.32) 1.36 (league 1.24)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
16.5% 28.1% 55.0%
best score tips
0 - 1
19.1%
0 - 0
14.0%
0 - 2
13.0%
Score & goals probability table
Ayr Utd
0 1 2 3 4 5
Morton 0 14.0% 19.1% 13.0% 5.9% 2.0% 0.5%
1 8.5% 11.5% 7.8% 3.6% 1.2% 0.3%
2 2.6% 3.5% 2.4% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1%
3 0.5% 0.7% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricMortonAyr Utd
Played55
Form40%53%
Attack33%47%
Defense47%53%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 17 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.67 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.20
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.20
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

65%
FT probability

2.5+

46%
FT probability

3.5+

33%
FT probability

BTTS

64%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Morton Ayr Utd
HATHAT
Played9101991019
Wins22%20%21%22%40%32%
Draws44%50%47%44%50%47%
Loses33%30%32%33%10%21%

Form: Morton: DDDDLDDDWDLLDWWLWLL • Ayr Utd: DLDDDWWDWWLDLDDWDLW

League goals

Metric Morton Ayr Utd
HATHAT
GF total71017111425
GF avg0.81.00.91.21.41.3
GA total111324121022
GA avg1.21.31.31.31.01.2

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineMortonAyr Utd
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.563%79%74%68%
1.521%21%37%32%
2.55%11%16%11%
3.50%11%5%5%
4.50%5%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricMortonAyr Utd
HATHAT
Clean sheets224156
Failed to score437325

Penalties

MetricMortonAyr Utd
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total21

Streaks

MetricMortonAyr Utd
Wins22
Draws43
Losses21

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-10-34-20-2
Biggest losses0-45-02-42-1
Goals For2343
Goals Against4543

Model comparison

MetricMortonAyr Utd
Form43%57%
Att42%58%
Def47%53%
Poisson Distribution29%71%
H2h38%62%
Goals42%58%
Total40.2%59.8%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Ayr Utd

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.20 @ Unibet
Draw3.20 @ 188Bet
Away2.49 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.24 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.67 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.92 @ 188Bet
No1.90 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Morton = 0.60 (league 1.32), Ayr Utd = 1.36 (league 1.24)

Ayr Utd
0 1 2 3 4 5
Morton 0 14.0% 19.1% 13.0% 5.9% 2.0% 0.5%
1 8.5% 11.5% 7.8% 3.6% 1.2% 0.3%
2 2.6% 3.5% 2.4% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1%
3 0.5% 0.7% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 16.5% · Draw 28.1% · Away win 55.0%

vtt 23 , vtd1