Sat, Jan 3 2026 • 15:00 • McDiarmid Park
Not Started
Expected Goals
2.27 (league 1.32) 0.53 (league 1.25)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
74.2% 15.9% 7.0%
best score tips
2 - 0
15.7%
1 - 0
13.9%
3 - 0
11.9%
Score & goals probability table
Arbroath
0 1 2 3 4 5
ST Johnstone 0 6.1% 3.2% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 13.9% 7.3% 1.9% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
2 15.7% 8.3% 2.2% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
3 11.9% 6.3% 1.6% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
4 6.7% 3.5% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 3.1% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricST JohnstoneArbroath
Played55
Form53%73%
Attack91%64%
Defense64%73%
Goals For (tot | avg)10 | 27 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.83 | 0.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.40
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.90
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

78%
FT probability

2.5+

55%
FT probability

3.5+

39%
FT probability

BTTS

65%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric ST Johnstone Arbroath
HATHAT
Played101020101020
Wins60%60%60%50%40%45%
Draws40%20%30%40%20%30%
Loses0%20%10%10%40%25%

Form: ST Johnstone: WWWDWWWWDDLWWDWLDWWD • Arbroath: DWLWWLDLDWWLWLDDWWWD

League goals

Metric ST Johnstone Arbroath
HATHAT
GF total231942161127
GF avg2.31.92.11.61.11.4
GA total61117111324
GA avg0.61.10.91.11.31.2

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineST JohnstoneArbroath
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.580%50%70%80%
1.560%25%40%15%
2.535%10%20%15%
3.525%0%5%5%
4.510%0%0%5%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricST JohnstoneArbroath
HATHAT
Clean sheets6410314
Failed to score314246

Penalties

MetricST JohnstoneArbroath
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total21

Streaks

MetricST JohnstoneArbroath
Wins43
Draws22
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-00-44-11-3
Biggest losses—3-10-53-0
Goals For5443
Goals Against3353

Model comparison

MetricST JohnstoneArbroath
Form42%58%
Att59%41%
Def43%57%
Poisson Distribution80%20%
H2h71%29%
Goals65%35%
Total60.0%40.0%

Advice: Winner : ST Johnstone

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.42 @ Unibet
Draw4.87 @ Pinnacle
Away8.50 @ Betfair

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.80 @ Betfair
Under 2.52.05 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.10 @ Betfair
No1.76 @ Unibet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): ST Johnstone = 2.27 (league 1.32), Arbroath = 0.53 (league 1.25)

Arbroath
0 1 2 3 4 5
ST Johnstone 0 6.1% 3.2% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 13.9% 7.3% 1.9% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
2 15.7% 8.3% 2.2% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
3 11.9% 6.3% 1.6% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
4 6.7% 3.5% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 3.1% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 74.2% · Draw 15.9% · Away win 7.0%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1