Sat, Jan 24 2026 • 15:00 • McDiarmid Park
Not Started
Expected Goals
1.66 (league 1.32) 0.65 (league 1.24)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
61.2% 23.9% 14.2%
best score tips
1 - 0
16.5%
2 - 0
13.7%
1 - 1
10.7%
Score & goals probability table
Dunfermline
0 1 2 3 4 5
ST Johnstone 0 9.9% 6.4% 2.1% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
1 16.5% 10.7% 3.5% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
2 13.7% 8.9% 2.9% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
3 7.6% 4.9% 1.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
4 3.2% 2.0% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 1.0% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricST JohnstoneDunfermline
Played55
Form73%27%
Attack67%40%
Defense87%47%
Goals For (tot | avg)10 | 26 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)2 | 0.48 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

76%
FT probability

2.5+

53%
FT probability

3.5+

38%
FT probability

BTTS

60%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric ST Johnstone Dunfermline
HATHAT
Played111021101020
Wins64%60%62%30%40%35%
Draws36%20%29%30%20%25%
Loses0%20%10%40%40%40%

Form: ST Johnstone: WWWDWWWWDDLWWDWLDWWDW • Dunfermline: DWLDWLLLDWWLWDWLLDLW

League goals

Metric ST Johnstone Dunfermline
HATHAT
GF total241943121628
GF avg2.21.92.01.21.61.4
GA total61117121022
GA avg0.51.10.81.21.01.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineST JohnstoneDunfermline
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.581%48%70%60%
1.557%24%45%40%
2.533%10%10%10%
3.524%0%10%0%
4.510%0%5%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricST JohnstoneDunfermline
HATHAT
Clean sheets7411448
Failed to score314336

Penalties

MetricST JohnstoneDunfermline
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total20

Streaks

MetricST JohnstoneDunfermline
Wins42
Draws21
Losses13

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-00-42-00-5
Biggest losses—3-10-22-0
Goals For5425
Goals Against3333

Model comparison

MetricST JohnstoneDunfermline
Form73%27%
Att63%38%
Def80%20%
Poisson Distribution69%31%
H2h75%25%
Goals60%40%
Total70.0%30.2%

Advice: Double chance : ST Johnstone or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.58 @ Unibet
Draw4.18 @ Pinnacle
Away6.82 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.91 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.90 @ 10Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.06 @ 188Bet
No1.82 @ Unibet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): ST Johnstone = 1.66 (league 1.32), Dunfermline = 0.65 (league 1.24)

Dunfermline
0 1 2 3 4 5
ST Johnstone 0 9.9% 6.4% 2.1% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
1 16.5% 10.7% 3.5% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
2 13.7% 8.9% 2.9% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
3 7.6% 4.9% 1.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
4 3.2% 2.0% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 1.0% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 61.2% · Draw 23.9% · Away win 14.2%

vtt 1 , vtd1