Tue, Mar 3 2026 • 19:45 • Gayfield Park
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.63 (league 1.33) 1.32 (league 1.18)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
44.0% 24.2% 30.9%
best score tips
1 - 1
11.3%
2 - 1
9.2%
1 - 0
8.5%
Score & goals probability table
Ayr Utd
0 1 2 3 4 5
Arbroath 0 5.2% 6.9% 4.6% 2.0% 0.7% 0.2%
1 8.5% 11.3% 7.5% 3.3% 1.1% 0.3%
2 6.9% 9.2% 6.1% 2.7% 0.9% 0.2%
3 3.8% 5.0% 3.3% 1.4% 0.5% 0.1%
4 1.5% 2.0% 1.3% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.5% 0.7% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricArbroathAyr Utd
Played55
Form53%33%
Attack82%45%
Defense36%36%
Goals For (tot | avg)9 | 1.85 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.47 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.10
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.40
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

75%
FT probability

2.5+

53%
FT probability

3.5+

38%
FT probability

BTTS

71%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Arbroath Ayr Utd
HATHAT
Played121426121325
Wins50%36%42%25%31%28%
Draws42%21%31%50%46%48%
Loses8%43%27%25%23%24%

Form: Arbroath: DWLWWLDLDWWLWLDDWWWDLWDLWD • Ayr Utd: DLDDDWWDWWLDLDDWDLWDDLWDL

League goals

Metric Arbroath Ayr Utd
HATHAT
GF total211536141731
GF avg1.81.11.41.21.31.2
GA total141832141630
GA avg1.21.31.21.21.21.2

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineArbroathAyr Utd
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.569%81%76%72%
1.538%23%32%32%
2.523%12%12%12%
3.58%4%4%4%
4.50%4%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricArbroathAyr Utd
HATHAT
Clean sheets325257
Failed to score268426

Penalties

MetricArbroathAyr Utd
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total12

Streaks

MetricArbroathAyr Utd
Wins32
Draws23
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-11-34-20-2
Biggest losses0-53-02-43-1
Goals For4343
Goals Against5343

Model comparison

MetricArbroathAyr Utd
Form62%38%
Att64%36%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution54%46%
H2h15%85%
Goals13%87%
Total43.0%57.0%

Advice: Double chance : Arbroath or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.42 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.31 @ Pinnacle
Away3.00 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.11 @ SBO
Under 2.51.76 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.91 @ Bet365
No2.05 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Arbroath = 1.63 (league 1.33), Ayr Utd = 1.32 (league 1.18)

Ayr Utd
0 1 2 3 4 5
Arbroath 0 5.2% 6.9% 4.6% 2.0% 0.7% 0.2%
1 8.5% 11.3% 7.5% 3.3% 1.1% 0.3%
2 6.9% 9.2% 6.1% 2.7% 0.9% 0.2%
3 3.8% 5.0% 3.3% 1.4% 0.5% 0.1%
4 1.5% 2.0% 1.3% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.5% 0.7% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 44.0% · Draw 24.2% · Away win 30.9%

vtt 5 , vtd1