Sat, Feb 28 2026 • 15:00 • Albert Bartlett Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.56 (league 1.33) 1.42 (league 1.18)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
14.7% 27.1% 57.8%
best score tips
0 - 1
19.5%
0 - 2
13.9%
0 - 0
13.7%
Score & goals probability table
Morton
0 1 2 3 4 5
Airdrie United 0 13.7% 19.5% 13.9% 6.6% 2.3% 0.7%
1 7.7% 11.0% 7.8% 3.7% 1.3% 0.4%
2 2.2% 3.1% 2.2% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1%
3 0.4% 0.6% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAirdrie UnitedMorton
Played55
Form27%53%
Attack25%58%
Defense67%58%
Goals For (tot | avg)3 | 0.67 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.85 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.70
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.90
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

64%
FT probability

2.5+

45%
FT probability

3.5+

32%
FT probability

BTTS

65%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Airdrie United Morton
HATHAT
Played131326131326
Wins8%31%19%31%15%23%
Draws38%23%31%46%46%46%
Loses54%46%50%23%38%31%

Form: Airdrie United: DLDLLDLLLDLWLDWLWWLDDDLWLL • Morton: DDDDLDDDWDLLDWWLWLLDLDWDWL

League goals

Metric Airdrie United Morton
HATHAT
GF total71320121527
GF avg0.51.00.80.91.21.0
GA total181634132033
GA avg1.41.21.31.01.51.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAirdrie UnitedMorton
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.554%73%69%77%
1.519%35%31%23%
2.54%15%4%15%
3.50%8%0%8%
4.50%0%0%4%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAirdrie UnitedMorton
HATHAT
Clean sheets347426
Failed to score7512538

Penalties

MetricAirdrie UnitedMorton
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total13

Streaks

MetricAirdrie UnitedMorton
Wins22
Draws34
Losses32

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins1-00-32-00-3
Biggest losses0-43-00-45-0
Goals For2323
Goals Against4445

Model comparison

MetricAirdrie UnitedMorton
Form33%67%
Att30%70%
Def56%44%
Poisson Distribution31%69%
H2h38%62%
Goals46%54%
Total39.0%61.0%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Morton and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.55 @ Unibet
Draw3.15 @ 188Bet
Away3.00 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.16 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.73 @ Betfair

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.88 @ 188Bet
No1.98 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Airdrie United = 0.56 (league 1.33), Morton = 1.42 (league 1.18)

Morton
0 1 2 3 4 5
Airdrie United 0 13.7% 19.5% 13.9% 6.6% 2.3% 0.7%
1 7.7% 11.0% 7.8% 3.7% 1.3% 0.4%
2 2.2% 3.1% 2.2% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1%
3 0.4% 0.6% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 14.7% · Draw 27.1% · Away win 57.8%

vtt 1 , vtd1