Championship
— Scotland
Sat, Mar 7 2026 • 15:00 •
Somerset Park
Expected Goals
1.09 (league 1.33)
1.50 (league 1.20)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 27.3% | 25.8% | 46.3% |
best score tips
1 - 1
12.3%
0 - 1
11.3%
1 - 2
9.2%
Score & goals probability table
| Dunfermline | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Ayr Utd | 0 | 7.5% | 11.3% | 8.5% | 4.2% | 1.6% | 0.5% |
| 1 | 8.2% | 12.3% | 9.2% | 4.6% | 1.7% | 0.5% | |
| 2 | 4.4% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.3% | |
| 3 | 1.6% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Ayr Utd | Dunfermline |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 33% | 27% |
| Attack | 45% | 45% |
| Defense | 36% | 9% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 5 | 1 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 10 | 2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.50
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.70
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.40
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.40
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
71%
FT probability
2.5+
50%
FT probability
3.5+
36%
FT probability
BTTS
66%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Ayr Utd | Dunfermline | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 12 | 13 | 25 | 13 | 13 | 26 |
| Wins | 25% | 31% | 28% | 31% | 38% | 35% |
| Draws | 50% | 46% | 48% | 31% | 15% | 23% |
| Loses | 25% | 23% | 24% | 38% | 46% | 42% |
Form: Ayr Utd: DLDDDWWDWWLDLDDWDLWDDLWDL • Dunfermline: DWLDWLLLDWWLWDWLLDLWWLLLDW
League goals
| Metric | Ayr Utd | Dunfermline | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 14 | 17 | 31 | 15 | 19 | 34 |
| GF avg | 1.2 | 1.3 | 1.2 | 1.2 | 1.5 | 1.3 |
| GA total | 14 | 16 | 30 | 16 | 16 | 32 |
| GA avg | 1.2 | 1.2 | 1.2 | 1.2 | 1.2 | 1.2 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Ayr Utd | Dunfermline | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 76% | 72% | 69% | 62% |
| 1.5 | 32% | 32% | 42% | 46% |
| 2.5 | 12% | 12% | 8% | 12% |
| 3.5 | 4% | 4% | 8% | 4% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 4% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Ayr Utd | Dunfermline | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 5 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 10 |
| Failed to score | 4 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 8 |
Penalties
| Metric | Ayr Utd | Dunfermline |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 2 | 100.00% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 2 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | Ayr Utd | Dunfermline |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 2 |
| Draws | 3 | 1 |
| Losses | 1 | 3 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 4-2 | 0-2 | 2-0 | 0-5 |
| Biggest losses | 2-4 | 3-1 | 0-2 | 4-2 |
| Goals For | 4 | 3 | 2 | 5 |
| Goals Against | 4 | 3 | 3 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Ayr Utd | Dunfermline |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 56% | 44% |
| Att | 50% | 50% |
| Def | 59% | 41% |
| Poisson Distribution | 41% | 59% |
| H2h | 80% | 20% |
| Goals | 75% | 25% |
| Total | 60.2% | 39.8% |
Advice: Double chance : Ayr Utd or draw
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Ayr Utd = 1.09 (league 1.33), Dunfermline = 1.50 (league 1.20)
| Dunfermline | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Ayr Utd | 0 | 7.5% | 11.3% | 8.5% | 4.2% | 1.6% | 0.5% |
| 1 | 8.2% | 12.3% | 9.2% | 4.6% | 1.7% | 0.5% | |
| 2 | 4.4% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.3% | |
| 3 | 1.6% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 27.3% · Draw 25.8% · Away win 46.3%
vtt 1 , vtd1