Tue, Apr 7 2026 • 18:45 • Somerset Park
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.07 (league 1.34) 1.56 (league 1.16)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
25.9% 25.3% 48.1%
best score tips
1 - 1
12.1%
0 - 1
11.3%
1 - 2
9.4%
Score & goals probability table
Dunfermline
0 1 2 3 4 5
Ayr Utd 0 7.3% 11.3% 8.8% 4.6% 1.8% 0.6%
1 7.7% 12.1% 9.4% 4.9% 1.9% 0.6%
2 4.1% 6.4% 5.0% 2.6% 1.0% 0.3%
3 1.5% 2.3% 1.8% 0.9% 0.4% 0.1%
4 0.4% 0.6% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAyr UtdDunfermline
Played55
Form13%87%
Attack17%67%
Defense56%83%
Goals For (tot | avg)3 | 0.612 | 2.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.63 | 0.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

73%
FT probability

2.5+

51%
FT probability

3.5+

36%
FT probability

BTTS

68%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2-4
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Ayr Utd Dunfermline
HATHAT
Played151631161430
Wins20%25%23%44%36%40%
Draws47%50%48%25%21%23%
Loses33%25%29%31%43%37%
Ayr UtdDLDDDWWDWWLDLDDWDLWDDLWDLDLDLLD
DunfermlineDWLDWLLLDWWLWDWLLDLWWLLLDWWWDW

League goals

Metric Ayr Utd Dunfermline
HATHAT
GF total161935242145
GF avg1.11.21.11.51.51.5
GA total182139171835
GA avg1.21.31.31.11.31.2

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAyr UtdDunfermline
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.574%77%73%60%
1.526%32%50%43%
2.510%13%17%10%
3.53%3%7%3%
4.50%0%3%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAyr UtdDunfermline
HATHAT
Clean sheets2577512
Failed to score538448

Penalties

MetricAyr UtdDunfermline
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total31

Streaks

MetricAyr UtdDunfermline
Wins23
Draws31
Losses23

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-20-23-00-5
Biggest losses2-43-00-24-2
Goals For4335
Goals Against4334

Model comparison

MetricAyr UtdDunfermline
Form13%87%
Att20%80%
Def27%73%
Poisson Distribution39%61%
H2h80%20%
Goals75%25%
Total42.3%57.7%
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.37 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.40 @ Superbet
Away3.20 @ Betfair

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.28 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.72 @ Superbet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.93 @ 188Bet
No1.90 @ Superbet
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League standings

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