Sat, Mar 28 2026 • 13:00 • Cappielow Park
Not Started
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Expected Goals
0.82 (league 1.32) 0.94 (league 1.17)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
29.9% 33.3% 36.8%
best score tips
0 - 0
17.3%
0 - 1
16.2%
1 - 0
14.1%
Score & goals probability table
Arbroath
0 1 2 3 4 5
Morton 0 17.3% 16.2% 7.6% 2.4% 0.6% 0.1%
1 14.1% 13.2% 6.2% 2.0% 0.5% 0.1%
2 5.7% 5.4% 2.5% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
3 1.6% 1.5% 0.7% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.3% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricMortonArbroath
Played55
Form20%47%
Attack50%20%
Defense0%90%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 12 | 0.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)10 | 21 | 0.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.90
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

64%
FT probability

2.5+

45%
FT probability

3.5+

32%
FT probability

BTTS

64%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Morton Arbroath
HATHAT
Played151530151530
Wins27%20%23%47%33%40%
Draws40%40%40%47%27%37%
Loses33%40%37%7%40%23%

Form: Morton: DDDDLDDDWDLLDWWLWLLDLDWDWLLLLW • Arbroath: DWLWWLDLDWWLWLDDWWWDLWDLWDDDDW

League goals

Metric Morton Arbroath
HATHAT
GF total131730231538
GF avg0.91.11.01.51.01.3
GA total172340151833
GA avg1.11.51.31.01.21.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineMortonArbroath
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.570%77%67%73%
1.527%30%33%20%
2.53%17%20%10%
3.50%7%7%3%
4.50%3%0%3%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricMortonArbroath
HATHAT
Clean sheets437538
Failed to score6393710

Penalties

MetricMortonArbroath
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total31

Streaks

MetricMortonArbroath
Wins23
Draws44
Losses41

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-00-34-11-3
Biggest losses0-45-00-53-0
Goals For2343
Goals Against4553

Model comparison

MetricMortonArbroath
Form30%70%
Att71%29%
Def9%91%
Poisson Distribution43%57%
H2h85%15%
Goals73%27%
Total51.8%48.2%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Morton or draw and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.16 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.28 @ Pinnacle
Away2.33 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.12 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.77 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.89 @ 188Bet
No1.97 @ Unibet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Morton = 0.82 (league 1.32), Arbroath = 0.94 (league 1.17)

Arbroath
0 1 2 3 4 5
Morton 0 17.3% 16.2% 7.6% 2.4% 0.6% 0.1%
1 14.1% 13.2% 6.2% 2.0% 0.5% 0.1%
2 5.7% 5.4% 2.5% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
3 1.6% 1.5% 0.7% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.3% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 29.9% · Draw 33.3% · Away win 36.8%

vtt 1 , vtd1