Championship
— Scotland
Sat, Apr 4 2026 • 14:00 •
East End Park
Expected Goals
1.57 (league 1.34)
1.04 (league 1.17)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 49.2% | 25.2% | 24.9% |
best score tips
1 - 1
12.0%
1 - 0
11.6%
2 - 1
9.4%
Score & goals probability table
| Morton | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Dunfermline | 0 | 7.4% | 7.6% | 4.0% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 11.6% | 12.0% | 6.2% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 9.1% | 9.4% | 4.9% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 4.8% | 4.9% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 1.9% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Dunfermline | Morton |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 73% | 40% |
| Attack | 79% | 36% |
| Defense | 71% | 43% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 11 | 2.2 | 5 | 1 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 8 | 1.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.40
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.50
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.50
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.60
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
71%
FT probability
2.5+
50%
FT probability
3.5+
36%
FT probability
BTTS
67%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2-4
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Dunfermline | Morton | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 15 | 14 | 29 | 16 | 15 | 31 |
| Wins | 40% | 36% | 38% | 31% | 20% | 26% |
| Draws | 27% | 21% | 24% | 38% | 40% | 39% |
| Loses | 33% | 43% | 38% | 31% | 40% | 35% |
DunfermlineDWLDWLLLDWWLWDWLLDLWWLLLDWWWD
MortonDDDDLDDDWDLLDWWLWLLDLDWDWLLLLWW
League goals
| Metric | Dunfermline | Morton | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 21 | 21 | 42 | 15 | 17 | 32 |
| GF avg | 1.4 | 1.5 | 1.4 | 0.9 | 1.1 | 1.0 |
| GA total | 16 | 18 | 34 | 18 | 23 | 41 |
| GA avg | 1.1 | 1.3 | 1.2 | 1.1 | 1.5 | 1.3 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Dunfermline | Morton | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 72% | 59% | 71% | 77% |
| 1.5 | 48% | 45% | 29% | 29% |
| 2.5 | 14% | 10% | 3% | 16% |
| 3.5 | 7% | 3% | 0% | 6% |
| 4.5 | 3% | 0% | 0% | 3% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Dunfermline | Morton | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 7 | 5 | 12 | 4 | 3 | 7 |
| Failed to score | 4 | 4 | 8 | 6 | 3 | 9 |
Penalties
| Metric | Dunfermline | Morton |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 1 | 100.00% | 3 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 1 | 3 |
Streaks
| Metric | Dunfermline | Morton |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 3 | 2 |
| Draws | 1 | 4 |
| Losses | 3 | 4 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-0 | 0-5 | 2-0 | 0-3 |
| Biggest losses | 0-2 | 4-2 | 0-4 | 5-0 |
| Goals For | 3 | 5 | 2 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 4 | 4 | 5 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Dunfermline | Morton |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 65% | 35% |
| Att | 69% | 31% |
| Def | 67% | 33% |
| Poisson Distribution | 59% | 41% |
| H2h | 50% | 50% |
| Goals | 38% | 63% |
| Total | 58.0% | 42.2% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home1.96 @ Unibet
Draw3.50 @ Betfair
Away4.31 @ Pinnacle
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.52.07 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.78 @ 188Bet
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.87 @ 188Bet
No1.86 @ Unibet
📊
League standings
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