League One — Scotland
Tue, Oct 7 2025 • 18:45 • New Central Park
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.21 (league 1.43) 1.39 (league 1.44)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
5.4% 26.6% 67.7%
best score tips
0 - 1
28.1%
0 - 0
20.3%
0 - 2
19.5%
Score & goals probability table
Alloa Athletic
0 1 2 3 4 5
Kelty Hearts 0 20.3% 28.1% 19.5% 9.0% 3.1% 0.9%
1 4.2% 5.9% 4.1% 1.9% 0.7% 0.2%
2 0.4% 0.6% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
3 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricKelty HeartsAlloa Athletic
Played55
Form20%20%
Attack29%21%
Defense36%57%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.83 | 0.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)9 | 1.86 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.10
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

66%
FT probability

2.5+

46%
FT probability

3.5+

33%
FT probability

BTTS

64%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Kelty Hearts Alloa Athletic
HATHAT
Played448358
Wins0%50%25%67%40%50%
Draws0%0%0%0%0%0%
Loses100%50%75%33%60%50%

Form: Kelty Hearts: LWLLLLWL • Alloa Athletic: WWWLLWLL

League goals

Metric Kelty Hearts Alloa Athletic
HATHAT
GF total167347
GF avg0.31.50.91.00.80.9
GA total10515257
GA avg2.51.31.90.71.00.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineKelty HeartsAlloa Athletic
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.563%88%63%75%
1.525%63%25%13%
2.50%25%0%0%
3.50%13%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricKelty HeartsAlloa Athletic
HATHAT
Clean sheets011112
Failed to score303123

Penalties

MetricKelty HeartsAlloa Athletic
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total10

Streaks

MetricKelty HeartsAlloa Athletic
Wins13
Draws00
Losses42

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins—0-22-11-2
Biggest losses0-42-10-12-1
Goals For1222
Goals Against4212

Model comparison

MetricKelty HeartsAlloa Athletic
Form50%50%
Att57%43%
Def40%60%
Poisson Distribution10%90%
H2h40%60%
Goals36%64%
Total38.8%61.2%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Alloa Athletic

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home4.32 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.94 @ Pinnacle
Away1.96 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.83 @ Unibet
Under 2.52.05 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.80 @ Bet365
No2.10 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Kelty Hearts = 0.21 (league 1.43), Alloa Athletic = 1.39 (league 1.44)

Alloa Athletic
0 1 2 3 4 5
Kelty Hearts 0 20.3% 28.1% 19.5% 9.0% 3.1% 0.9%
1 4.2% 5.9% 4.1% 1.9% 0.7% 0.2%
2 0.4% 0.6% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
3 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 5.4% · Draw 26.6% · Away win 67.7%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1