Sat, Sep 27 2025 • 14:00 • ZLX Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.34 (league 1.48) 0.74 (league 1.41)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
15.3% 43.0% 41.7%
best score tips
0 - 0
33.9%
0 - 1
25.2%
1 - 0
11.5%
Score & goals probability table
Stenhousemuir
0 1 2 3 4 5
Hamilton Academical 0 33.9% 25.2% 9.4% 2.3% 0.4% 0.1%
1 11.5% 8.5% 3.2% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
2 1.9% 1.4% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricHamilton AcademicalStenhousemuir
Played55
Form33%73%
Attack47%47%
Defense67%80%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.47 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 13 | 0.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.20
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

61%
FT probability

2.5+

43%
FT probability

3.5+

30%
FT probability

BTTS

61%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Hamilton Academical Stenhousemuir
HATHAT
Played347527
Wins33%50%43%40%100%57%
Draws33%25%29%40%0%29%
Loses33%25%29%20%0%14%

Form: Hamilton Academical: WWLLDDW • Stenhousemuir: LWWDDWW

League goals

Metric Hamilton Academical Stenhousemuir
HATHAT
GF total31013639
GF avg1.02.51.91.21.51.3
GA total246415
GA avg0.71.00.90.80.50.7

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineHamilton AcademicalStenhousemuir
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.571%57%86%57%
1.557%29%29%14%
2.529%0%14%0%
3.529%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricHamilton AcademicalStenhousemuir
HATHAT
Clean sheets213213
Failed to score112101

Penalties

MetricHamilton AcademicalStenhousemuir
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total13

Streaks

MetricHamilton AcademicalStenhousemuir
Wins22
Draws22
Losses21

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-00-43-11-2
Biggest losses1-21-01-2
Goals For2432
Goals Against2221

Model comparison

MetricHamilton AcademicalStenhousemuir
Form31%69%
Att50%50%
Def38%63%
Poisson Distribution34%66%
H2h100%0%
Goals100%0%
Total38.3%62.0%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Stenhousemuir and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.87 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.70 @ Unibet
Away4.10 @ Marathonbet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.89 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.52.05 @ SBO

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.81 @ Pinnacle
No2.10 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Hamilton Academical = 0.34 (league 1.48), Stenhousemuir = 0.74 (league 1.41)

Stenhousemuir
0 1 2 3 4 5
Hamilton Academical 0 33.9% 25.2% 9.4% 2.3% 0.4% 0.1%
1 11.5% 8.5% 3.2% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
2 1.9% 1.4% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 15.3% · Draw 43.0% · Away win 41.7%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1