League One — Scotland
Sat, Oct 4 2025 • 14:00 • New Central Park
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.76 (league 1.43) 0.94 (league 1.44)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
55.8% 23.4% 19.8%
best score tips
1 - 0
11.9%
1 - 1
11.1%
2 - 0
10.4%
Score & goals probability table
Peterhead
0 1 2 3 4 5
Kelty Hearts 0 6.8% 6.3% 3.0% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
1 11.9% 11.1% 5.2% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1%
2 10.4% 9.8% 4.6% 1.4% 0.3% 0.1%
3 6.1% 5.7% 2.7% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
4 2.7% 2.5% 1.2% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.9% 0.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricKelty HeartsPeterhead
Played55
Form20%47%
Attack27%60%
Defense40%40%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.89 | 1.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)9 | 1.89 | 1.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

0.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

5.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

89%
FT probability

2.5+

62%
FT probability

3.5+

44%
FT probability

BTTS

69%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Kelty Hearts Peterhead
HATHAT
Played347448
Wins0%50%29%75%0%38%
Draws0%0%0%25%0%13%
Loses100%50%71%0%100%50%

Form: Kelty Hearts: LWLLLLW • Peterhead: WLLWLDLW

League goals

Metric Kelty Hearts Peterhead
HATHAT
GF total06611213
GF avg0.01.50.92.80.51.6
GA total851351116
GA avg2.71.31.91.32.82.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineKelty HeartsPeterhead
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.557%86%75%100%
1.529%57%50%63%
2.50%29%25%25%
3.50%14%13%13%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricKelty HeartsPeterhead
HATHAT
Clean sheets011000
Failed to score303022

Penalties

MetricKelty HeartsPeterhead
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total11

Streaks

MetricKelty HeartsPeterhead
Wins11
Draws01
Losses42

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins—0-24-1—
Biggest losses0-42-1—4-0
Goals For0241
Goals Against4224

Model comparison

MetricKelty HeartsPeterhead
Form30%70%
Att31%69%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution0%100%
H2h50%50%
Goals58%42%
Total43.8%56.2%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Peterhead

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home4.16 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.86 @ Pinnacle
Away1.91 @ William Hill

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.80 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.10 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.75 @ Pinnacle
No2.18 @ Unibet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Kelty Hearts = 1.76 (league 1.43), Peterhead = 0.94 (league 1.44)

Peterhead
0 1 2 3 4 5
Kelty Hearts 0 6.8% 6.3% 3.0% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
1 11.9% 11.1% 5.2% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1%
2 10.4% 9.8% 4.6% 1.4% 0.3% 0.1%
3 6.1% 5.7% 2.7% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
4 2.7% 2.5% 1.2% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.9% 0.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 55.8% · Draw 23.4% · Away win 19.8%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1