Sat, Oct 4 2025 • 14:00 • Ochilview Park
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.22 (league 1.48) 0.74 (league 1.41)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
47.5% 30.0% 22.4%
best score tips
1 - 0
17.2%
0 - 0
14.1%
1 - 1
12.7%
Score & goals probability table
Montrose
0 1 2 3 4 5
Stenhousemuir 0 14.1% 10.4% 3.8% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
1 17.2% 12.7% 4.7% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
2 10.5% 7.7% 2.9% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
3 4.3% 3.1% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
4 1.3% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricStenhousemuirMontrose
Played55
Form53%67%
Attack33%40%
Defense73%67%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 16 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.85 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

69%
FT probability

2.5+

48%
FT probability

3.5+

34%
FT probability

BTTS

69%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

3 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Stenhousemuir Montrose
HATHAT
Played538448
Wins40%67%50%50%25%38%
Draws40%0%25%0%50%25%
Loses20%33%25%50%25%38%

Form: Stenhousemuir: LWWDDWWL • Montrose: LLDLWWDW

League goals

Metric Stenhousemuir Montrose
HATHAT
GF total6395510
GF avg1.21.01.11.31.31.3
GA total4376612
GA avg0.81.00.91.51.51.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineStenhousemuirMontrose
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.575%63%75%88%
1.525%25%38%50%
2.513%0%13%13%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricStenhousemuirMontrose
HATHAT
Clean sheets213011
Failed to score112112

Penalties

MetricStenhousemuirMontrose
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total30

Streaks

MetricStenhousemuirMontrose
Wins22
Draws21
Losses12

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-11-22-10-1
Biggest losses1-22-00-22-0
Goals For3223
Goals Against2223

Model comparison

MetricStenhousemuirMontrose
Form44%56%
Att45%55%
Def56%44%
Poisson Distribution62%38%
H2h60%40%
Goals57%43%
Total54.0%46.0%

Advice: Double chance : Stenhousemuir or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.14 @ Unibet
Draw3.60 @ Bet365
Away4.00 @ Betfair

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.10 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.86 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.89 @ Pinnacle
No2.02 @ Unibet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Stenhousemuir = 1.22 (league 1.48), Montrose = 0.74 (league 1.41)

Montrose
0 1 2 3 4 5
Stenhousemuir 0 14.1% 10.4% 3.8% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
1 17.2% 12.7% 4.7% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
2 10.5% 7.7% 2.9% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
3 4.3% 3.1% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
4 1.3% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 47.5% · Draw 30.0% · Away win 22.4%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1