League One — Scotland
Sat, Oct 25 2025 • 14:00 • Recreation Park
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.56 (league 1.44) 0.57 (league 1.39)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
27.6% 43.5% 28.9%
best score tips
0 - 0
32.3%
0 - 1
18.6%
1 - 0
17.9%
Score & goals probability table
Stenhousemuir
0 1 2 3 4 5
Alloa Athletic 0 32.3% 18.6% 5.3% 1.0% 0.1% 0.0%
1 17.9% 10.3% 3.0% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
2 5.0% 2.9% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 0.9% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAlloa AthleticStenhousemuir
Played55
Form47%80%
Attack40%53%
Defense67%73%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.28 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 14 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

54%
FT probability

2.5+

38%
FT probability

3.5+

27%
FT probability

BTTS

63%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Alloa Athletic Stenhousemuir
HATHAT
Played46106410
Wins50%50%50%50%75%60%
Draws25%0%10%33%0%20%
Loses25%50%40%17%25%20%

Form: Alloa Athletic: WWWLLWLLWD • Stenhousemuir: LWWDDWWLWW

League goals

Metric Alloa Athletic Stenhousemuir
HATHAT
GF total46109413
GF avg1.01.01.01.51.01.3
GA total358538
GA avg0.80.80.80.80.80.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAlloa AthleticStenhousemuir
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.570%70%80%60%
1.530%10%30%20%
2.50%0%20%0%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAlloa AthleticStenhousemuir
HATHAT
Clean sheets123224
Failed to score123112

Penalties

MetricAlloa AthleticStenhousemuir
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%4 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total04

Streaks

MetricAlloa AthleticStenhousemuir
Wins32
Draws02
Losses21

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-10-23-11-2
Biggest losses0-12-11-22-0
Goals For2232
Goals Against1222

Model comparison

MetricAlloa AthleticStenhousemuir
Form37%63%
Att43%57%
Def44%56%
Poisson Distribution48%52%
H2h80%20%
Goals64%36%
Total52.7%47.3%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Alloa Athletic or draw and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.70 @ Unibet
Draw3.50 @ Bet365
Away2.85 @ Superbet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.25 @ Superbet
Under 2.51.81 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.00 @ Superbet
No2.05 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Alloa Athletic = 0.56 (league 1.44), Stenhousemuir = 0.57 (league 1.39)

Stenhousemuir
0 1 2 3 4 5
Alloa Athletic 0 32.3% 18.6% 5.3% 1.0% 0.1% 0.0%
1 17.9% 10.3% 3.0% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
2 5.0% 2.9% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 0.9% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 27.6% · Draw 43.5% · Away win 28.9%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1