League One — Scotland
Sat, Nov 1 2025 • 15:00 • Recreation Park
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.78 (league 1.44) 0.69 (league 1.39)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
34.0% 37.2% 28.8%
best score tips
0 - 0
23.1%
1 - 0
17.9%
0 - 1
15.9%
Score & goals probability table
Kelty Hearts
0 1 2 3 4 5
Alloa Athletic 0 23.1% 15.9% 5.5% 1.3% 0.2% 0.0%
1 17.9% 12.4% 4.3% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
2 7.0% 4.8% 1.7% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
3 1.8% 1.2% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAlloa AthleticKelty Hearts
Played55
Form33%27%
Attack40%50%
Defense60%10%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.85 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.89 | 1.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.40
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

63%
FT probability

2.5+

44%
FT probability

3.5+

31%
FT probability

BTTS

66%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Alloa Athletic Kelty Hearts
HATHAT
Played56116511
Wins40%50%45%0%40%18%
Draws40%0%18%0%20%9%
Loses20%50%36%100%40%73%

Form: Alloa Athletic: WWWLLWLLWDD • Kelty Hearts: LWLLLLWLLDL

League goals

Metric Alloa Athletic Kelty Hearts
HATHAT
GF total4610189
GF avg0.81.00.90.21.60.8
GA total35815722
GA avg0.60.80.72.51.42.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAlloa AthleticKelty Hearts
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.564%64%55%91%
1.527%9%27%73%
2.50%0%0%27%
3.50%0%0%9%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAlloa AthleticKelty Hearts
HATHAT
Clean sheets224011
Failed to score224505

Penalties

MetricAlloa AthleticKelty Hearts
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total02

Streaks

MetricAlloa AthleticKelty Hearts
Wins31
Draws01
Losses24

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-10-2—0-2
Biggest losses0-12-10-42-1
Goals For2212
Goals Against1242

Model comparison

MetricAlloa AthleticKelty Hearts
Form56%44%
Att44%56%
Def69%31%
Poisson Distribution55%45%
H2h80%20%
Goals80%20%
Total64.0%36.0%

Advice: Double chance : Alloa Athletic or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.59 @ Pinnacle
Draw4.58 @ Pinnacle
Away5.54 @ 1xBet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.90 @ Pinnacle
No1.90 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.80 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.02 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Alloa Athletic = 0.78 (league 1.44), Kelty Hearts = 0.69 (league 1.39)

Kelty Hearts
0 1 2 3 4 5
Alloa Athletic 0 23.1% 15.9% 5.5% 1.3% 0.2% 0.0%
1 17.9% 12.4% 4.3% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
2 7.0% 4.8% 1.7% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
3 1.8% 1.2% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 34.0% · Draw 37.2% · Away win 28.8%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1