League One — Scotland
Sat, Nov 8 2025 • 15:00 • Ochilview Park
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.77 (league 1.44) 0.75 (league 1.39)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
60.9% 22.8% 15.3%
best score tips
1 - 0
14.3%
2 - 0
12.6%
1 - 1
10.7%
Score & goals probability table
Kelty Hearts
0 1 2 3 4 5
Stenhousemuir 0 8.1% 6.0% 2.3% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
1 14.3% 10.7% 4.0% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
2 12.6% 9.4% 3.5% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
3 7.5% 5.6% 2.1% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
4 3.3% 2.5% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 1.2% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricStenhousemuirKelty Hearts
Played55
Form53%7%
Attack45%27%
Defense64%0%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 13 | 0.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.812 | 2.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

73%
FT probability

2.5+

51%
FT probability

3.5+

36%
FT probability

BTTS

69%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

3 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Stenhousemuir Kelty Hearts
HATHAT
Played66126612
Wins50%50%50%0%33%17%
Draws33%33%33%0%17%8%
Loses17%17%17%100%50%75%

Form: Stenhousemuir: LWWDDWWLWWDD • Kelty Hearts: LWLLLLWLLDLL

League goals

Metric Stenhousemuir Kelty Hearts
HATHAT
GF total9514189
GF avg1.50.81.20.21.30.8
GA total549151025
GA avg0.80.70.82.51.72.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineStenhousemuirKelty Hearts
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.575%58%50%92%
1.525%17%25%75%
2.517%0%0%33%
3.50%0%0%8%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricStenhousemuirKelty Hearts
HATHAT
Clean sheets235011
Failed to score123516

Penalties

MetricStenhousemuirKelty Hearts
Scored (total | %)4 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total42

Streaks

MetricStenhousemuirKelty Hearts
Wins21
Draws21
Losses14

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-11-2—0-2
Biggest losses1-22-00-43-0
Goals For3212
Goals Against2243

Model comparison

MetricStenhousemuirKelty Hearts
Form89%11%
Att63%38%
Def75%25%
Poisson Distribution69%31%
H2h62%38%
Goals50%50%
Total68.0%32.2%

Advice: Double chance : Stenhousemuir or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.52 @ Pinnacle
Draw4.20 @ Betfair
Away7.00 @ Betfair

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.96 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.98 @ SBO

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.08 @ 188Bet
No1.79 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Stenhousemuir = 1.77 (league 1.44), Kelty Hearts = 0.75 (league 1.39)

Kelty Hearts
0 1 2 3 4 5
Stenhousemuir 0 8.1% 6.0% 2.3% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
1 14.3% 10.7% 4.0% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
2 12.6% 9.4% 3.5% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
3 7.5% 5.6% 2.1% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
4 3.3% 2.5% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 1.2% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 60.9% · Draw 22.8% · Away win 15.3%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1