League One — Scotland
Tue, Nov 25 2025 • 19:45 • Recreation Park
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.42 (league 1.44) 0.63 (league 1.34)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
20.4% 44.9% 34.7%
best score tips
0 - 0
35.0%
0 - 1
22.2%
1 - 0
14.6%
Score & goals probability table
Inverness CT
0 1 2 3 4 5
Alloa Athletic 0 35.0% 22.2% 7.0% 1.5% 0.2% 0.0%
1 14.6% 9.2% 2.9% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
2 3.0% 1.9% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 0.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAlloa AthleticInverness CT
Played55
Form60%87%
Attack50%56%
Defense94%88%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 1.69 | 1.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)1 | 0.22 | 0.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.90
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

59%
FT probability

2.5+

41%
FT probability

3.5+

29%
FT probability

BTTS

56%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Alloa Athletic Inverness CT
HATHAT
Played68148614
Wins50%50%50%75%83%79%
Draws33%13%21%13%0%7%
Loses17%38%29%13%17%14%

Form: Alloa Athletic: WWWLLWLLWDDWWD • Inverness CT: WWLWWWWWLDWWWW

League goals

Metric Alloa Athletic Inverness CT
HATHAT
GF total71017161026
GF avg1.21.31.22.01.71.9
GA total358538
GA avg0.50.60.60.60.50.6

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAlloa AthleticInverness CT
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.564%50%100%29%
1.536%7%50%21%
2.514%0%21%7%
3.57%0%14%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAlloa AthleticInverness CT
HATHAT
Clean sheets3475510
Failed to score235000

Penalties

MetricAlloa AthleticInverness CT
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total11

Streaks

MetricAlloa AthleticInverness CT
Wins35
Draws21
Losses21

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-00-44-00-3
Biggest losses0-12-11-23-1
Goals For3443
Goals Against1223

Model comparison

MetricAlloa AthleticInverness CT
Form41%59%
Att47%53%
Def67%33%
Poisson Distribution39%61%
H2h15%85%
Goals36%64%
Total40.8%59.2%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Inverness CT and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home4.75 @ Betfair
Draw3.80 @ Betano
Away1.85 @ 188Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.91 @ 188Bet
Under 2.52.05 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.83 @ Pinnacle
No2.00 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Alloa Athletic = 0.42 (league 1.44), Inverness CT = 0.63 (league 1.34)

Inverness CT
0 1 2 3 4 5
Alloa Athletic 0 35.0% 22.2% 7.0% 1.5% 0.2% 0.0%
1 14.6% 9.2% 2.9% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
2 3.0% 1.9% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 0.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 20.4% · Draw 44.9% · Away win 34.7%

Vtot 6 , Vtod1