League One — Scotland
Sat, Nov 15 2025 • 15:00 • Balmoral Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.38 (league 1.46) 3.25 (league 1.38)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
2.1% 7.1% 79.6%
best score tips
0 - 3
15.1%
0 - 2
13.9%
0 - 4
12.3%
Score & goals probability table
Hamilton Academical
0 1 2 3 4 5
Cove Rangers 0 2.6% 8.6% 13.9% 15.1% 12.3% 8.0%
1 1.0% 3.3% 5.4% 5.8% 4.7% 3.1%
2 0.2% 0.6% 1.0% 1.1% 0.9% 0.6%
3 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricCove RangersHamilton Academical
Played55
Form20%67%
Attack27%80%
Defense60%73%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.812 | 2.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.24 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.20
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

78%
FT probability

2.5+

55%
FT probability

3.5+

39%
FT probability

BTTS

65%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

3 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Cove Rangers Hamilton Academical
HATHAT
Played67137613
Wins0%14%8%57%50%54%
Draws17%14%15%14%33%23%
Loses83%71%77%29%17%23%

Form: Cove Rangers: LLDLDLLLLLWLL • Hamilton Academical: WWLLDDWWWWLDW

League goals

Metric Cove Rangers Hamilton Academical
HATHAT
GF total459121527
GF avg0.70.70.71.72.52.1
GA total119205510
GA avg1.81.31.50.70.80.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineCove RangersHamilton Academical
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.538%85%85%54%
1.515%54%62%23%
2.515%15%38%0%
3.50%0%23%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricCove RangersHamilton Academical
HATHAT
Clean sheets022426
Failed to score448112

Penalties

MetricCove RangersHamilton Academical
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total01

Streaks

MetricCove RangersHamilton Academical
Wins14
Draws12
Losses52

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins—0-33-00-4
Biggest losses0-23-11-21-0
Goals For3334
Goals Against3322

Model comparison

MetricCove RangersHamilton Academical
Form23%77%
Att25%75%
Def40%60%
Poisson Distribution10%90%
H2h29%71%
Goals25%75%
Total25.3%74.7%

Advice: Winner : Hamilton Academical

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home4.21 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.62 @ Pinnacle
Away1.83 @ William Hill

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.88 @ Unibet
Under 2.52.00 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.79 @ Pinnacle
No2.05 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Cove Rangers = 0.38 (league 1.46), Hamilton Academical = 3.25 (league 1.38)

Hamilton Academical
0 1 2 3 4 5
Cove Rangers 0 2.6% 8.6% 13.9% 15.1% 12.3% 8.0%
1 1.0% 3.3% 5.4% 5.8% 4.7% 3.1%
2 0.2% 0.6% 1.0% 1.1% 0.9% 0.6%
3 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 2.1% · Draw 7.1% · Away win 79.6%

Vtot 4 , Vtod1