League One — Scotland
Sat, Dec 6 2025 • 15:00 • Ochilview Park
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.10 (league 1.45) 1.68 (league 1.37)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
24.9% 24.2% 50.0%
best score tips
1 - 1
11.5%
0 - 1
10.4%
1 - 2
9.6%
Score & goals probability table
Hamilton Academical
0 1 2 3 4 5
Stenhousemuir 0 6.2% 10.4% 8.7% 4.9% 2.0% 0.7%
1 6.9% 11.5% 9.6% 5.4% 2.3% 0.8%
2 3.8% 6.3% 5.3% 3.0% 1.2% 0.4%
3 1.4% 2.3% 1.9% 1.1% 0.5% 0.2%
4 0.4% 0.6% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricStenhousemuirHamilton Academical
Played55
Form40%47%
Attack39%50%
Defense72%67%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.49 | 1.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 16 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.90
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

79%
FT probability

2.5+

56%
FT probability

3.5+

40%
FT probability

BTTS

71%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

3 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Stenhousemuir Hamilton Academical
HATHAT
Played78158715
Wins43%50%47%63%43%53%
Draws43%25%33%13%29%20%
Loses14%25%20%25%29%27%

Form: Stenhousemuir: LWWDDWWLWWDDDLW • Hamilton Academical: WWLLDDWWWWLDWLW

League goals

Metric Stenhousemuir Hamilton Academical
HATHAT
GF total11920151631
GF avg1.61.11.31.92.32.1
GA total76136713
GA avg1.00.80.90.81.00.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineStenhousemuirHamilton Academical
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.573%67%87%60%
1.533%20%60%27%
2.520%0%40%0%
3.57%0%20%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricStenhousemuirHamilton Academical
HATHAT
Clean sheets235426
Failed to score134112

Penalties

MetricStenhousemuirHamilton Academical
Scored (total | %)5 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total51

Streaks

MetricStenhousemuirHamilton Academical
Wins24
Draws32
Losses12

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-11-43-00-4
Biggest losses1-22-01-22-1
Goals For3434
Goals Against2222

Model comparison

MetricStenhousemuirHamilton Academical
Form46%54%
Att44%56%
Def55%45%
Poisson Distribution38%62%
H2h0%100%
Goals0%100%
Total45.8%54.3%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Hamilton Academical

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.58 @ 188Bet
Draw3.42 @ Pinnacle
Away2.70 @ Bet365

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.00 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.87 @ Betfair

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.81 @ Pinnacle
No2.10 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Stenhousemuir = 1.10 (league 1.45), Hamilton Academical = 1.68 (league 1.37)

Hamilton Academical
0 1 2 3 4 5
Stenhousemuir 0 6.2% 10.4% 8.7% 4.9% 2.0% 0.7%
1 6.9% 11.5% 9.6% 5.4% 2.3% 0.8%
2 3.8% 6.3% 5.3% 3.0% 1.2% 0.4%
3 1.4% 2.3% 1.9% 1.1% 0.5% 0.2%
4 0.4% 0.6% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 24.9% · Draw 24.2% · Away win 50.0%

Vtot 4 , Vtod2