League One — Scotland
Sat, Dec 20 2025 • 15:00 • ZLX Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.79 (league 1.43) 0.76 (league 1.37)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
33.0% 35.9% 31.1%
best score tips
0 - 0
21.1%
1 - 0
16.8%
0 - 1
16.1%
Score & goals probability table
Alloa Athletic
0 1 2 3 4 5
Hamilton Academical 0 21.1% 16.1% 6.1% 1.6% 0.3% 0.0%
1 16.8% 12.8% 4.9% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0%
2 6.7% 5.1% 1.9% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
3 1.8% 1.3% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricHamilton AcademicalAlloa Athletic
Played55
Form47%53%
Attack47%60%
Defense53%80%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.49 | 1.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.43 | 0.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.20
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.40
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

66%
FT probability

2.5+

47%
FT probability

3.5+

33%
FT probability

BTTS

60%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Hamilton Academical Alloa Athletic
HATHAT
Played89179817
Wins63%33%47%44%50%47%
Draws13%33%24%33%13%24%
Loses25%33%29%22%38%29%

Form: Hamilton Academical: WWLLDDWWWWLDWLWDL • Alloa Athletic: WWWLLWLLWDDWWDDWL

League goals

Metric Hamilton Academical Alloa Athletic
HATHAT
GF total151631121022
GF avg1.91.81.81.31.31.3
GA total611176511
GA avg0.81.21.00.70.60.6

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineHamilton AcademicalAlloa Athletic
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.576%59%65%53%
1.553%29%35%12%
2.535%6%18%0%
3.518%6%12%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricHamilton AcademicalAlloa Athletic
HATHAT
Clean sheets437448
Failed to score134336

Penalties

MetricHamilton AcademicalAlloa Athletic
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total11

Streaks

MetricHamilton AcademicalAlloa Athletic
Wins43
Draws22
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-00-44-00-4
Biggest losses1-24-00-22-1
Goals For3444
Goals Against2422

Model comparison

MetricHamilton AcademicalAlloa Athletic
Form47%53%
Att44%56%
Def30%70%
Poisson Distribution52%48%
H2h50%50%
Goals50%50%
Total45.5%54.5%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Alloa Athletic

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.50 @ William Hill
Draw3.81 @ Pinnacle
Away2.80 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.95 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.94 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.79 @ Pinnacle
No2.10 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Hamilton Academical = 0.79 (league 1.43), Alloa Athletic = 0.76 (league 1.37)

Alloa Athletic
0 1 2 3 4 5
Hamilton Academical 0 21.1% 16.1% 6.1% 1.6% 0.3% 0.0%
1 16.8% 12.8% 4.9% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0%
2 6.7% 5.1% 1.9% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
3 1.8% 1.3% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 33.0% · Draw 35.9% · Away win 31.1%

vtt 4 , vtd1