League One — Scotland
Sat, Dec 20 2025 • 15:00 • Palmerston Park
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.56 (league 1.43) 1.05 (league 1.37)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
48.7% 25.3% 25.4%
best score tips
1 - 1
12.0%
1 - 0
11.5%
2 - 1
9.4%
Score & goals probability table
Montrose
0 1 2 3 4 5
Queen of the South 0 7.4% 7.7% 4.0% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1%
1 11.5% 12.0% 6.3% 2.2% 0.6% 0.1%
2 9.0% 9.4% 4.9% 1.7% 0.4% 0.1%
3 4.7% 4.9% 2.6% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
4 1.8% 1.9% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.6% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricQueen of the SouthMontrose
Played55
Form53%67%
Attack47%60%
Defense60%60%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.49 | 1.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.26 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.90
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

78%
FT probability

2.5+

55%
FT probability

3.5+

39%
FT probability

BTTS

70%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Queen of the South Montrose
HATHAT
Played89179817
Wins50%33%41%44%25%35%
Draws25%22%24%0%38%18%
Loses25%44%35%56%38%47%

Form: Queen of the South: WLWDWLLLWLWDWDLDW • Montrose: LLDLWWDWLLLLLDWWW

League goals

Metric Queen of the South Montrose
HATHAT
GF total13922101020
GF avg1.61.01.31.11.31.2
GA total91322181129
GA avg1.11.41.32.01.41.7

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineQueen of the SouthMontrose
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.576%65%65%82%
1.535%35%35%47%
2.512%18%18%29%
3.56%12%0%12%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricQueen of the SouthMontrose
HATHAT
Clean sheets336123
Failed to score134426

Penalties

MetricQueen of the SouthMontrose
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total12

Streaks

MetricQueen of the SouthMontrose
Wins12
Draws11
Losses35

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-00-23-00-3
Biggest losses1-44-00-43-1
Goals For4233
Goals Against4443

Model comparison

MetricQueen of the SouthMontrose
Form44%56%
Att44%56%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution58%42%
H2h60%40%
Goals64%36%
Total53.3%46.7%

Advice: Double chance : Queen of the South or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.95 @ William Hill
Draw3.77 @ Pinnacle
Away4.00 @ 888Sport

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.90 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.52.00 @ 888Sport

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.81 @ Pinnacle
No2.13 @ 188Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Queen of the South = 1.56 (league 1.43), Montrose = 1.05 (league 1.37)

Montrose
0 1 2 3 4 5
Queen of the South 0 7.4% 7.7% 4.0% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1%
1 11.5% 12.0% 6.3% 2.2% 0.6% 0.1%
2 9.0% 9.4% 4.9% 1.7% 0.4% 0.1%
3 4.7% 4.9% 2.6% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
4 1.8% 1.9% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.6% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 48.7% · Draw 25.3% · Away win 25.4%

Vtot 5 , Vtod1