League One — Scotland
Sat, Dec 27 2025 • 15:00 • Recreation Park
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.89 (league 1.46) 0.52 (league 1.35)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
42.5% 37.1% 20.4%
best score tips
0 - 0
24.4%
1 - 0
21.7%
0 - 1
12.7%
Score & goals probability table
Stenhousemuir
0 1 2 3 4 5
Alloa Athletic 0 24.4% 12.7% 3.3% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
1 21.7% 11.3% 2.9% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
2 9.7% 5.0% 1.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 2.9% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAlloa AthleticStenhousemuir
Played55
Form33%47%
Attack45%45%
Defense64%55%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 15 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.85 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.70
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

57%
FT probability

2.5+

40%
FT probability

3.5+

29%
FT probability

BTTS

57%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Alloa Athletic Stenhousemuir
HATHAT
Played99189918
Wins44%44%44%44%44%44%
Draws33%11%22%44%22%33%
Loses22%44%33%11%33%22%

Form: Alloa Athletic: WWWLLWLLWDDWWDDWLL • Stenhousemuir: LWWDDWWLWWDDDLWDLW

League goals

Metric Alloa Athletic Stenhousemuir
HATHAT
GF total12102212921
GF avg1.31.11.21.31.01.2
GA total66127916
GA avg0.70.70.70.81.00.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAlloa AthleticStenhousemuir
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.561%56%67%61%
1.533%11%28%22%
2.517%0%17%6%
3.511%0%6%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAlloa AthleticStenhousemuir
HATHAT
Clean sheets448437
Failed to score347246

Penalties

MetricAlloa AthleticStenhousemuir
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%5 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total15

Streaks

MetricAlloa AthleticStenhousemuir
Wins32
Draws23
Losses21

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-00-43-11-4
Biggest losses0-22-11-23-0
Goals For4434
Goals Against2223

Model comparison

MetricAlloa AthleticStenhousemuir
Form42%58%
Att50%50%
Def56%44%
Poisson Distribution64%36%
H2h71%29%
Goals62%38%
Total57.5%42.5%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Alloa Athletic or draw and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.20 @ William Hill
Draw3.30 @ Bet365
Away3.51 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.22 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.65 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.00 @ Bet365
No1.89 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Alloa Athletic = 0.89 (league 1.46), Stenhousemuir = 0.52 (league 1.35)

Stenhousemuir
0 1 2 3 4 5
Alloa Athletic 0 24.4% 12.7% 3.3% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
1 21.7% 11.3% 2.9% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
2 9.7% 5.0% 1.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 2.9% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 42.5% · Draw 37.1% · Away win 20.4%

vtt 19 , vtd1